Kings vs. Avalanche? $72,893 Bet Says No Way Avalanche Wins
Tmao12345 placed $72,893.34 SELL Avalanche on Polymarket, betting on "Kings vs. Avalanche" at odds 0.84 (market gives 84.0% probability). Total market volume $637,482.47, 24h volume $606,986.42, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: Avalanche at 0.84
If correct, $72,893.34 becomes $86,778.34 (profit $13,885)
If wrong, loses $72,893
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just cashed out $13,885. Selling $72,893 worth of Avalanche shares.
The market still screams 84.0% for Avalanche. Every top 10 whale is 100% bullish. Even the #1 holder just exited with $21,836 PnL.
But this player? Not chasing ghosts. With a 0.2:1 risk/reward on the table and N/A days remaining, they pulled a classic "sell into strength" move.
Avoiding late-game variance like a pro. Elite risk management. Locking in profit into retail liquidity. Chef's kiss.
Market Context: Kings vs. AvalancheMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves to 'Kings' if the Kings win the game, and to 'Avalanche' if the Avalanche win. The winner is determined by the final score, including any overtime or shootouts, with one goal added to the winning team's score if a shootout occurs.
The game is scheduled for April 19 at 3:00 PM ET; if it's postponed, the market will stay open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up, the market will resolve 50-50.
The outcome will be determined by the final score of the NHL game, including overtime and shootouts.
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. In a shootout, one goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution purposes.
A common misunderstanding might be overlooking that a shootout winner gets an extra goal added to their score for the market's resolution, or expecting immediate resolution if the game is postponed.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Kings, Avalanche, Kings vs Avalanche
Relevant tweets: 19
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The Kings' 0-0 tie? Don't be a mark. That early defensive stand is a classic 'dead cat bounce' for your wallet. Forsberg's heroics are just a band-aid on a gaping wound.
Their 4th line and 3rd D-pair are getting *caved in*. Coach 'DJ' rolling 4 lines means this liability isn't going anywhere. It's like bringing a spoon to a gunfight, then insisting everyone gets a turn.
The Avs are waking up. When the sleeping giant stirs, someone gets crushed. Remember that Kings' illegal hip-check? Ticking penalty bomb. Forsberg's altitude fatigue? Gravity always wins.
If you're buying the Kings' early odds, you're not following the whales. You're swimming with chum. Fade the Kings. Back the Avalanche live. Bet on the inevitable.
KOL — High Relevance (3)
Retail — High Relevance (10)
Retail — Medium Relevance (1)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 10 of 10 hold Avalanche positions. Largest position: 52,943.68 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x19254b55e7c48e88baab9e62cc218223a6544654 | Avalanche | 0.7000 | 0.8450 | 0 | +$21,836.3 |
| 2 | 0xd106952ebf30a3125affd8a23b6c1f30c35fc79c | Avalanche | 0.7054 | 0.8450 | 52,943.68 | +$7,389.88 |
| 3 | 0x842ac934cfff1467f27c167c42c318001e407422 | Avalanche | 0.7101 | 0.8450 | 28,293.61 | +$3,815.62 |
| 4 | 0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a | Avalanche | 0.7057 | 0.8450 | 23,311.09 | +$2,997.41 |
| 5 | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40c | Avalanche | 0.0000 | 0.8450 | 3,137.02 | +$2,650.78 |
| 6 | 0x20d6436849f930584892730c7f96ebb2ac763856 | Avalanche | 0.7100 | 0.8450 | 18,943.92 | +$2,557.43 |
| 7 | 0x6ff9775f734fed0d0af226c72db604b48c40a78b | Avalanche | 0.7099 | 0.8450 | 17,583.34 | +$2,373.77 |
| 8 | 0xe7a2052a8b7c6b865e3eb3d16300a4db7432ae70 | Avalanche | 0.7100 | 0.8450 | 16,900 | +$2,281.5 |
| 9 | 0xfe787d2da716d60e8acff57fb87eb13cd4d10319 | Avalanche | 0.6700 | 0.8450 | 15,762.83 | +$2,257.15 |
| 10 | 0x1117eade222413335b7ec959e5b48c1d3dbc3532 | Avalanche | 0.7000 | 0.8450 | 14,865 | +$2,155.42 |