Utah vs. Golden Knights: $146K Profit on Polymarket Says Utah Wins
Tmao12345 placed $106,152.38 BUY Utah on Polymarket, betting on "Utah vs. Golden Knights" at odds 0.42 (market gives 42.0% probability). Total market volume $212,161.262, 24h volume $205,012.772, heat level: Active.
Odds Analysis: Utah at 0.42
If correct, $106,152.38 becomes $252,744.38 (profit $146,592)
If wrong, loses $106,152
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $106,152 on Utah, hoping for a $146,592 payday. With 0 days left, this whale swallowed 50.03% of the market's liquidity. They're backing a 42.0% shot.
Meanwhile, the Golden Knights whales are already swimming in profit. They hold massive positions, up $1,007 and $500. The smart money consensus? Heavily against this Utah gamble, with top holders split 6-to-4.
This isn't a bold contrarian play. It's a retail-inflated underdog bet. Absorbing half the market to fight profitable smart money consensus is less "courageous" and more "financially masochistic." A $106,152 lesson in humility, incoming.
Market Context: Utah vs. Golden KnightsMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves to 'Utah' if the Utah team wins the game, and to 'Golden Knights' if the Golden Knights team wins. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
The game is scheduled for April 19 at 10:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed.
The outcome is determined by the final score of the game, including any overtime periods and shootouts. For resolution purposes, if a shootout occurs, one goal will be added to the winning team's score.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it's played. If the game is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50.
A common misunderstanding might be how shootouts affect the score; remember that one goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution purposes, not necessarily the actual game score.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Utah, Golden Knights
Relevant tweets: 18
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
Retail's chugging Utah's "new team" Kool-Aid. Hard pass. Vegas just unleashed a Marner-Eichel-Stone line. That's not a hockey line; it's a cheat code. A three-headed Cerberus for Karel Vejmelka. Puck drops in 15.
The market's underpricing this offensive juggernaut. Why? Pure, unadulterated anti-Vegas bias and "Coyotes in new lipstick" hype. Remember the Titanic? Don't bet on the band playing on for Utah's defense.
Fade the sentiment skew. Whales are eyeing Vegas to win, score first, and for that top line to go supernova. Don't be a mark.
KOL — High Relevance (9)
KOL — Medium Relevance (1)
Retail — High Relevance (8)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold Golden Knights positions. Largest position: 201,370.54 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Utah | 0.0000 | 0.4150 | 6,154.81 | +$2,554.24 |
| 2 | 0x03e8a544e97eeff5753bc1e90d46e5ef22af1697 | Golden Knights | 0.5800 | 0.5850 | 201,370.54 | +$1,006.85 |
| 3 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Golden Knights | 0.5800 | 0.5850 | 100,000 | +$500 |
| 4 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Golden Knights | 0.0000 | 0.5850 | 768.77 | +$449.73 |
| 5 | 0x37c1874a60d348903594a96703e0507c518fc53a | Golden Knights | 0.5800 | 0.5850 | 36,382.75 | +$181.91 |
| 6 | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40c | Utah | 0.0000 | 0.4150 | 413.18 | +$171.47 |
| 7 | 0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a | Utah | 0.4200 | 0.4150 | 8,095.83 | +$157.05 |
| 8 | 0xa697d0b3fff7d285a0f92d6ee03a7f97809e59d5 | Utah | 0.4199 | 0.4150 | 1,160.54 | +$120.19 |
| 9 | 0x6d3c5bd13984b2de47c3a88ddc455309aab3d294 | Golden Knights | 0.5799 | 0.5850 | 26.73 | +$66.36 |
| 10 | 0x201cbc10410f6900090edf68515f62190e8158bf | Golden Knights | 0.5800 | 0.5850 | 10,000 | +$50 |