Kings Win vs. Avalanche? $51,802 Profit Bet Says Kings Lose
Tmao12345 placed $120,871.66 BUY Avalanche on Polymarket, betting on "Kings vs. Avalanche" at odds 0.7 (market gives 70.0% probability). Total market volume $95,783.213, 24h volume $85,017.223, heat level: Moderate.
Odds Analysis: Avalanche at 0.7
If correct, $120,871.66 becomes $172,673.66 (profit $51,802)
If wrong, loses $120,872
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $120,872 betting on the Avalanche, chasing a measly $51,802 profit with 0 days left. This isn't trading; it's a liquidity tsunami, representing 126.19% of total market volume. For a 0.4:1 risk/reward, it’s like bringing a spoon to a knife fight.
The market gives Avalanche a 70.0% chance, but the real smart money is on the Kings, holding positions like 131,724.28 and 99,999.9 shares, already pocketing profit. Even a game cancellation guarantees a loss for our hero. This isn't a whale; it's a lemming. Enjoy watching that $120,872 evaporate.
Market Context: Kings vs. AvalancheMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves to 'Kings' if the Kings win the game, and to 'Avalanche' if the Avalanche win, based on the final score including overtime and shootouts. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up, the market resolves 50-50.
The game is scheduled for April 19 at 3:00 PM ET; if it is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed.
The outcome will be determined by the official final score of the game, including any overtime periods and shootouts.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it's played; if it's canceled without a make-up, it resolves 50-50; in a shootout, one goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution.
A common misunderstanding might be that the market closes on April 19 even if the game is postponed, or forgetting that a goal is added for shootout winners.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Kings, Avalanche
Relevant tweets: 6
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
Kings vs. Avalanche: The market's a circus, and the clowns are out. A $171,119 whale just went all-in on Avalanche at 70%. Moby Dick, meet your blind spot.
Because while the big fish was splashing cash, the Kings quietly activated F Andrei Kuzmenko from IR. That's a roster upgrade, folks, not a typo.
Retail sheep bleat "0 chance" for LA, utterly baffled why Kings aren't priced like a minor league team. Classic dumb money.
This isn't just unpriced information; it's a flashing neon sign for contrarians. If that whale bet *pre-Kuzmenko*, their 70% is a sucker's bet.
Don't tail the whale into the abyss. The Kings at 30%? That's not just value, that's a positive EV feast. While the masses chase the Avalanche, smart money smells blood in the water – on the other side.
KOL — Medium Relevance (3)
Retail — High Relevance (2)
Retail — Medium Relevance (1)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 5 of 10 hold Avalanche positions. Largest position: 131,724.28 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Avalanche | 0.0000 | 0.6949 | 1,579.65 | +$1,097.7 |
| 2 | 0x03e8a544e97eeff5753bc1e90d46e5ef22af1697 | Kings | 0.3000 | 0.3050 | 131,724.28 | +$658.62 |
| 3 | 0x47a83fb1debcd11cc93f3bbbf5aeb3a5caeb52f9 | Kings | 0.3000 | 0.3050 | 99,999.9 | +$500 |
| 4 | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40c | Avalanche | 0.0000 | 0.6949 | 293.88 | +$204.22 |
| 5 | 0xa697d0b3fff7d285a0f92d6ee03a7f97809e59d5 | Kings | 0.3000 | 0.3050 | 2,100.1 | +$70.48 |
| 6 | 0xeb8ed14f8b83fad23c2099c15352ba48b10d34ce | Avalanche | 0.6899 | 0.6949 | 9,998.13 | +$48.99 |
| 7 | 0x819fda3a0cd3972501f2e192c43d815767f370bc | Avalanche | 0.5000 | 0.6949 | 200 | +$38.98 |
| 8 | 0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a | Kings | 0.3037 | 0.3050 | 45.32 | +$32.45 |
| 9 | 0x3e04fbc51adb75418129f6ce2091ae633070564d | Avalanche | 0.6899 | 0.6949 | 5,999.77 | +$29.4 |
| 10 | 0x44d682939eb6a4a1349fa50411531876a6089858 | Kings | 0.3000 | 0.3050 | 4,999.74 | +$25 |