A $91,812 Bet Says No to Kings Missing the Spread vs. Avalanche
texaskid placed $91,812.32 BUY Kings on Polymarket, betting on "Kings vs. Avalanche" (Spread -1.5) at odds 0.49 (market gives 49.0% probability). Total market volume $26,555.285, 24h volume $26,143.217, heat level: Moderate.
Odds Analysis: Spread -1.5, Kings at 0.49
If correct, $91,812.32 becomes $187,372.32 (profit $95,560)
If wrong, loses $91,812
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $91,812 betting the Kings +1.5 spread, eyeing $95,560 profit with 0 days left. This isn't a trade; it's a market-dominating declaration, over 345% of total volume.
Our lone wolf spotted the NHL overtime cheat code: Kings win if it goes to OT. Pure galaxy-brain structural logic!
But this genius is sailing solo. Nine of the top ten whales are firmly on the Avalanche, one already up $2,022. The market even shifted against them, from 49.0% to 47.5% after the trigger.
A brilliant structural play, yes. But going full Don Quixote against smart money consensus and taking a hit on execution? That's not a masterstroke. That's a high-stakes, high-isolation average trade.
Market Context: Kings vs. Avalanche Spread -1.5Market Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves to 'Avalanche' if the Avalanche win the game by 2 or more goals, otherwise it resolves to 'Kings'. For resolution purposes, if the game goes to a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score.
The game is scheduled for April 19 at 3:00 PM ET; if postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed.
The outcome will be determined based on the final score of the NHL game, including any overtime periods and shootouts.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it's completed; if canceled entirely without a make-up game, it resolves 50-50.
A common misunderstanding might be overlooking the rule that adds one goal to the winning team's score if the game is decided by a shootout.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Kings Avalanche, LAKings Avalanche, NHL
Relevant tweets: 39
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The public narrative screams Avalanche dominance, a 1-seed steamrolling the Kings. @Sportsnet calls it "bad news" for LA; some handicappers predict a 4-0 sweep. But hold your horses, Anakin. Polymarket whales are betting Kings +1.5 at a shocking 49%. That’s not a blowout, that’s a coin flip.
Starting goalies Wedgewood and Forsberg aren't exactly Hasek and Roy, adding wild variance. While MacKinnon might exploit LA's rush defense, the Kings are 8-4-2 ATS recently. Don't get caught in the public's lemming rush. The value isn't where the hype is. Fade the noise, follow the smart money.
KOL — High Relevance (1)
KOL — Medium Relevance (10)
Retail — High Relevance (4)
Retail — Medium Relevance (10)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 9 of 10 hold Avalanche positions. Largest position: 134,818.23 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x5bec79df9add70a3892041ab1a5516b60f53b215 | Avalanche | 0.5100 | 0.5250 | 134,818.23 | +$2,022.27 |
| 2 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Kings | 0.0000 | 0.4750 | 3,365.27 | +$1,598.51 |
| 3 | 0x20d6436849f930584892730c7f96ebb2ac763856 | Avalanche | 0.5100 | 0.5250 | 55,000 | +$825 |
| 4 | 0xc29a02c2d0683d9cc1e5ef810cdf48a9e2c67816 | Avalanche | 0.5000 | 0.5250 | 25,006.34 | +$625.16 |
| 5 | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40c | Avalanche | 0.0000 | 0.5250 | 260.11 | +$136.56 |
| 6 | 0xfe787d2da716d60e8acff57fb87eb13cd4d10319 | Avalanche | 0.5100 | 0.5250 | 8,761.41 | +$131.42 |
| 7 | 0xde0463ea7f611b065e8ab06bbfbddad75e6dfa37 | Avalanche | 0.4900 | 0.5250 | 1,085.95 | +$38.01 |
| 8 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Avalanche | 0.0000 | 0.5250 | 59.3 | +$31.13 |
| 9 | 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf | Avalanche | 0.5115 | 0.5250 | 1,733.83 | +$23.39 |
| 10 | 0xd3d22e6e50f2f25b021371b503c6f119494efe85 | Avalanche | 0.5100 | 0.5250 | 1,477.95 | +$22.17 |