US Forces Enter Iran? $199,600 Bet on Polymarket Says No Way
scout placed $199,600 SELL Yes on Polymarket, betting on "US forces enter Iran by..?" at odds 0.998 (market gives 99.8% probability). Total market volume $178,226,488.187, 24h volume $67,560,039.144, heat level: Very Hot.
Odds Analysis: Yes at 0.998
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Collecting...
Market Context: US forces enter Iran by..?Market Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves to "Yes" if active US military personnel deliberately enter Iran's land territory for operational purposes by the specified date. It resolves to "No" if this condition is not met, meaning no such entry occurs or the entry is not deliberate, not for operational purposes, or not by active military personnel.
The key timeline is the deadline, which is the "listed date (ET)" by which the physical entry must occur for the market to resolve "Yes".
The outcome will be determined by a consensus of credible news reports and other reliable information sources.
Not specified in the rules.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
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Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 8 of 10 hold Yes positions. Largest position: 620,990.26 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1 | No | 0.0020 | 0.0015 | 0 | +$751,924.09 |
| 2 | 0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d | Yes | 0.6345 | 0.9985 | 0 | +$290,215.46 |
| 3 | 0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3 | Yes | 0.6196 | 0.9985 | 620,990.26 | +$235,234.21 |
| 4 | 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35 | No | 0.0070 | 0.0015 | 0 | +$58,641.17 |
| 5 | 0x80a0da00fbdc8440b0ef601341f14c3e24795708 | Yes | 0.6421 | 0.9985 | 138,947.76 | +$50,499.21 |
| 6 | 0x4bbe10ba5b7f6df147c0dae17b46c44a6e562cf3 | Yes | 0.7805 | 0.9985 | 175,760.61 | +$48,041.97 |
| 7 | 0xb1fa1aa03ce4f1f4e259cda433e7fdaf80f91a14 | Yes | 0.6716 | 0.9985 | 0 | +$42,372.6 |
| 8 | 0xdbedc5ab35d896d3226c6ea5e1708dfc631f10f7 | Yes | 0.6225 | 0.9985 | 0.01 | +$41,966.64 |
| 9 | 0x430fc12ac13646b962c98dd73e159488812f5947 | Yes | 0.5408 | 0.9985 | 0 | +$39,847.37 |
| 10 | 0x9f0968feb4ea38e9308a83ce227059458d932848 | Yes | 0.5986 | 0.9985 | 0 | +$35,796.86 |