Warriors vs. Kings: $67,363 Says No, but Will It Happen?
0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 placed $67,362.75 BUY Warriors on Polymarket, betting on "Warriors vs. Kings" at odds 0.55 (market gives 55.0% probability). Total market volume $1,403,095.592, 24h volume $1,369,311.328, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: Warriors at 0.55
If correct, $67,362.75 becomes $122,477.75 (profit $55,115)
If wrong, loses $67,363
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Some absolute madman just dropped $67,363 BUYING Warriors at 55% implied prob, likely when the Kings were up by 12. Call it a prayer, I call it a CLV masterclass.
They bought at 55%, now the market's screaming 68.5%. That's a +13.5% EV delta locked in, a move so sharp it could cut diamonds.
This wasn't just a trade; it *was* the market, a $67k hammer that shifted 5% of 24h volume. While other whales sniped Kings at $0.18, this one bet on the comeback narrative, fading the injury noise for Curry's magic.
Now, they can hedge for a risk-free bag or hold naked and pray to the basketball gods. Smart money, playing chess while others play checkers. A good bet.
Market Context: Warriors vs. KingsMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves to 'Warriors' if the Warriors win the game, or to 'Kings' if the Kings win. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up, the market resolves 50-50.
The game is scheduled for April 10 at 10:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed.
The outcome will be determined by the final score of the NBA game, including any overtime periods.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played. If the game is canceled without a make-up, it resolves 50-50.
A common misunderstanding might be overlooking that overtime periods are included in the final score for determining the winner.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Warriors, Kings, Warriors Kings
Relevant tweets: 29
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The market's a sucker, fixated on Curry's shiny new milestone (19th all-time). Meanwhile, the Warriors are bleeding.
Kings up 12, playing harder, yet their odds are a pathetic -135. That's not pricing reality; that's pricing hopium.
LJ Cryer’s out for Wednesday's play-in. Just another casualty in the Warriors' injury MASH unit. This isn't a "dogfight"; it's a "tanking team" exposing Golden State's soft underbelly.
Whales are laughing. They see the trap: public money chasing a fading dynasty.
The play? Fade the Warriors. Bet the Kings. The market’s disrespect for Sacramento's current dominance is your golden ticket. Don't be a sheep. Follow the sharks.
KOL — High Relevance (10)
KOL — Medium Relevance (5)
Retail — High Relevance (5)
Retail — Medium Relevance (9)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 5 of 10 hold Kings positions. Largest position: 131,255.27 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Kings | 0.2490 | 0.2950 | 13,280.2 | +$37,410.84 |
| 2 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Warriors | 0.5428 | 0.7050 | 131,255.27 | +$16,187.29 |
| 3 | 0xbddf61af533ff524d27154e589d2d7a81510c684 | Kings | 0.1800 | 0.2950 | 112,283.67 | +$12,912.62 |
| 4 | 0x0c45171efa126305092df6d9d3df4aff77d90ac6 | Warriors | 0.4898 | 0.7050 | 21,299.95 | +$4,581.66 |
| 5 | 0xa71093cafc0c099b4ccab24c3cb8018d817923c4 | Kings | 0.1900 | 0.2950 | 36,708.36 | +$3,854.38 |
| 6 | 0x1d2efa184454366ad3e79f3395d25396c20b896d | Warriors | 0.4500 | 0.7050 | 14,901.09 | +$3,799.78 |
| 7 | 0xa73a1952f1f0d94aeb396ffdaf7e111a8eab656a | Kings | 0.4367 | 0.2950 | 8,058.68 | +$3,290.86 |
| 8 | 0x1bc0d88ca86b9049cf05d642e634836d5ddf4429 | Kings | 0.1900 | 0.2950 | 28,295.3 | +$2,971.01 |
| 9 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Warriors | 0.0000 | 0.7050 | 4,029.72 | +$2,840.95 |
| 10 | 0x606e02d624a7bee5feba27ce09f4ea4b285f1ec9 | Warriors | 0.5297 | 0.7050 | 0.01 | +$2,580.73 |