Trade Report : 

A $133,647 High-Stakes Bet Says No to Sergey Fomin Winning Wuning 2

0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1
PolyMarket : Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzige
$133,647.13
Trade Amount
BUY Moerani Bouzige
Trade Side
0.6
Entry Price
Time

0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 placed $133,647.13 BUY Moerani Bouzige on Polymarket, betting on "Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzige" at odds 0.6 (market gives 60.0% probability). Total market volume $692,731.426, 24h volume $692,731.426, heat level: Hot.

On-chain Record →

Odds Analysis: Moerani Bouzige at 0.6

Moerani Bouzige odds at 0.6, market gives 60.0% chance
Sergey Fomin
38.5%
Moerani Bouzige
61.5%
Risk/reward ratio 0.7:1
If correct, $133,647.13 becomes $222,745.13 (profit $89,098)
If wrong, loses $133,647

Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN

Collecting...

Market Context: Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani BouzigeMarket Page →

Total Volume
$692,731.426
24h Volume
$692,731.426
Heat
Hot
End Date
2026-04-23
Created
2026-04-15
Holders
10

Resolution Rules (Original)

Rules Explained AI_GEN

Conditions

The market resolves to 'Sergey Fomin' if he advances, and to 'Moerani Bouzige' if he advances. It resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days from April 15, 2026 without a winner, or ends in a walkover.

Timeline

The match is originally scheduled for April 15, 2026. If the match is delayed beyond April 22, 2026 without a winner, the market resolves to 50-50.

Source

The primary source for resolution will be official information from the ATP Tour, with a consensus of credible reporting used as a secondary source.

Special Cases

If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or if there's a walkover, it resolves 50-50. If the match starts but one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the advancing player.

Common Mistakes

It's easy to confuse a walkover (player withdraws before the match, resulting in 50-50) with a retirement during the match (player withdraws after it starts, resulting in the other player winning). Also, a delay only triggers a 50-50 resolution if it extends beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner.

Twitter Sentiment Analysis

Search Keywords for Twitter: Sergey Fomin, Moerani Bouzige, Wuning 2

Relevant tweets: 0

Top Whale Positions in This Market

10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 8 of 10 hold Sergey Fomin positions. Largest position: 932,708.41 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.

#AddressSideAvg PriceCurr PriceSizePnL
10x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15Sergey Fomin0.38250.4550932,708.41+$67,616.7
20xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0Moerani Bouzige0.00000.54507,864.57+$4,286.19
30xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0Sergey Fomin0.00000.45505,137.24+$2,337.45
40xfe787d2da716d60e8acff57fb87eb13cd4d10319Sergey Fomin0.37410.4550441.21+$265.52
50xc26aec6c2f5a173e7397216ac20311851528b715Sergey Fomin0.13990.4550591.48+$186.32
60x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875eaSergey Fomin0.39980.45502,416.1+$133.34
70xecae230108416df21ee5cbb06e9a745b3ccbb906Moerani Bouzige0.39000.5450800+$124
80xea8d754b714f28f672f9d33c90b63a8e424fe9d3Sergey Fomin0.33990.4550729.07+$83.84
90xce9d204439cfcc2affaf0ce4de449e5750c23c05Sergey Fomin0.35470.4550743.78+$74.56
100xe91171f655be1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4eSergey Fomin0.32860.4550125.79+$72.87
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Will Moerani Bouzige Win Wuning 2? $92,499 Bet Says No Way