New York Mets Won't Win: $511,697 Prediction on Polymarket
0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 placed $511,696.72 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers on Polymarket, betting on "New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" at odds 0.89 (market gives 89.0% probability). Total market volume $1,984,909.298, 24h volume $1,980,883.961, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers at 0.89
If correct, $511,696.72 becomes $574,939.72 (profit $63,243)
If wrong, loses $511,697
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $511,697 on the Dodgers at a whopping 89.0% probability, chasing a 4-0 lead in the 3rd inning. For a potential profit of $63,243, they're risking $511,697. That's a 0.12:1 risk/reward, folks.
The market immediately corrected to 80.5%. This whale, accounting for over 25% of volume, bought the top like a tourist in Times Square. Other whales are already in profit with vastly superior entry prices. Meanwhile, the Mets whale, holding 1,715,371.68 shares, is up $54,966.
This isn't a bet; it's a donation. The deadline is TBD, with 0 days remaining. And the kicker? A game cancellation resolves 50-50, turning this 89.0% 'sure thing' into a $511,697 crater. Some people never learn.
Market Context: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles DodgersMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves to "New York Mets" if they win the game, and to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Dodgers win. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
The game is scheduled for April 13, 2026, and the market will resolve after its completion. If official statistics are not published within 24 hours after the game's conclusion, other credible reports may be used.
The primary source for resolution is the official final statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If official stats are unavailable after 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
A common misunderstanding might be assuming the market resolves immediately on the scheduled date, even if the game is postponed. Another could be overlooking the 50-50 resolution for cancellations or ties.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Mets, Dodgers
Relevant tweets: 31
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The Mets are performing a live re-enactment of the Titanic, currently down 4-0 to the Dodgers at the end of the 3rd. Andy Pages launched a 3-run homer, while the Mets offense is 10 up, 10 down – a perfect game for the *other* team. Peterson is an "auto loss" button, and the Mets just fell out of the Top 10.
The only *real* drama? Shohei Ohtani took a pitch to the shoulder blade. Is it a bruise or a future pitching start on the 16th in jeopardy? That's your unpriced risk.
**Investment Implication:** Fade the Mets like last year's meme stocks. Short their props, hammer the Dodgers run line. For futures, the Mets are sellers. Monitor Ohtani's shoulder like a hawk; *that's* your window to short Dodgers futures if the market hasn't caught up.
KOL — High Relevance (3)
KOL — Medium Relevance (5)
Retail — High Relevance (10)
Retail — Medium Relevance (9)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 8 of 10 hold Los Angeles Dodgers positions. Largest position: 1,715,371.68 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15 | New York Mets | 0.1629 | 0.1950 | 1,715,371.68 | +$54,965.65 |
| 2 | 0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6620 | 0.8050 | 265,555 | +$37,972.24 |
| 3 | 0x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5919 | 0.8050 | 0.04 | +$25,104.91 |
| 4 | 0xfe787d2da716d60e8acff57fb87eb13cd4d10319 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6982 | 0.8050 | 166,389.89 | +$17,324.42 |
| 5 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | New York Mets | 0.1030 | 0.1950 | 53,623.11 | +$14,853.63 |
| 6 | 0xcd3638fea0107fe3355544251f96a10980daa8ac | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5900 | 0.8050 | 49,981.07 | +$10,745.93 |
| 7 | 0xc660ae71765d0d9eaf5fa8328c1c959841d2bd28 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5850 | 0.8050 | 48,700 | +$10,712.54 |
| 8 | 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5755 | 0.8050 | 41,817.9 | +$9,437.49 |
| 9 | 0xe1a24206ed13433b70c603424c8a616b691d14b8 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6000 | 0.8050 | 39,520 | +$8,101.6 |
| 10 | 0x507e52ef684ca2dd91f90a9d26d149dd3288beae | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5753 | 0.8050 | 23,818.81 | +$5,582.87 |