$99,430 Against Los Angeles Dodgers — Polymarket Whale Bet
noMoohyun523 placed $99,430 BUY New York Mets on Polymarket, betting on "New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" at odds 0.3897 (market gives 39.0% probability). Total market volume $663,505.413, 24h volume $661,351.286, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: New York Mets at 0.3897
If correct, $99,430 becomes $255,145 (profit $155,715)
If wrong, loses $99,430
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $99,430 on the New York Mets, with 0 days remaining. This isn't just a bet; it's a declaration.
Potential profit? A juicy $155,715.
The market gives the Mets a mere 39.0% chance. Our whale is going full contrarian, a true Maverick in a sea of Dodgers "smart money."
This single play is 14.99% of total market volume. Talk about conviction.
Two Goliath Dodgers whales are already swimming in profit, holding massive shares. This Mets trader is walking into a lion's den.
But here's the genius: if the game cancels or ties, it's a guaranteed profit. A tactical retreat built right in.
It’s like playing chess, not checkers. High risk, absolutely. But this is a *good* trade. Value found where others fear to tread. Respect the hustle.
Market Context: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles DodgersMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves to the New York Mets if they win the game, or to the Los Angeles Dodgers if they win. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
The game is scheduled for April 15; if postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed. Resolution occurs after the game's conclusion, with official statistics expected within 24 hours.
The primary source is the official final statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If these are not published within 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played. If the game is canceled with no make-up or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
A common misunderstanding might be that the market resolves on the scheduled date even if the game is postponed, or that a specific team wins if the game is canceled or tied instead of a 50-50 split.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Mets, Dodgers, Mets Dodgers
Relevant tweets: 24
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The oracle, a $159K whale, just dropped a hammer on the Dodgers at 62 cents. The Mets? They're not just slumping; they're in a full-blown existential crisis, scoring 1 run in 29 innings. That's less productive than a government committee. Manager Mendoza's admission of a "hard stretch" is the understatement of the century.
Yamamoto on the mound for the Dodgers is a samurai sword against the Mets' butter knife offense. Ohtani *pitching* adds another layer of doom, though his bat is resting – so don't expect a Roman circus blowout.
Retail "experts" thinking Soto plays for the Mets? Bless their hearts. Ignore the noise. The unconfirmed "big injury scare" for the Mets is a Sword of Damocles.
Follow the smart money. Dodgers moneyline (60-65c) is +EV. This isn't a high-scoring fiesta; it's a slow, methodical strangulation. Avoid run lines. The Mets are due for regression, sure, but even a broken clock is right only twice a day.
KOL — High Relevance (7)
KOL — Medium Relevance (8)
Retail — High Relevance (1)
Retail — Medium Relevance (8)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 5 of 10 hold Los Angeles Dodgers positions. Largest position: 404,835.15 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xdb27bf2ac5d428a9c63dbc914611036855a6c56e | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6163 | 0.6350 | 404,835.15 | +$7,587.46 |
| 2 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6100 | 0.6350 | 243,965.02 | +$6,098.64 |
| 3 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | New York Mets | 0.0000 | 0.3650 | 16,118.3 | +$5,883.18 |
| 4 | 0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a | New York Mets | 0.3622 | 0.3650 | 136,667.75 | +$1,232.36 |
| 5 | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40c | New York Mets | 0.0000 | 0.3650 | 3,051.83 | +$1,113.92 |
| 6 | 0xc660ae71765d0d9eaf5fa8328c1c959841d2bd28 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6206 | 0.6350 | 56,004.48 | +$801.87 |
| 7 | 0x5c3a1a602848565bb16165fcd460b00c3d43020b | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6199 | 0.6350 | 50,000 | +$750 |
| 8 | 0x21f333307ac6d2e65ac82f014b3dd2b64cbc35e3 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.6240 | 0.6350 | 38,295.79 | +$421.22 |
| 9 | 0xa697d0b3fff7d285a0f92d6ee03a7f97809e59d5 | New York Mets | 0.3699 | 0.3650 | 1,399.99 | +$417.37 |
| 10 | 0xd81fbc5c53593e4e2923a641ff2bc7e2d9866b75 | New York Mets | 0.3466 | 0.3650 | 0.01 | +$349.47 |