$169,550 For Mets Win vs Dodgers — Polymarket Whale Bet
noMoohyun523 placed $169,550 BUY New York Mets on Polymarket, betting on "New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" at odds 0.4263 (market gives 42.6% probability). Total market volume $225,715.049, 24h volume $222,060.105, heat level: Active.
Odds Analysis: New York Mets at 0.4263
If correct, $169,550 becomes $397,725 (profit $228,175)
If wrong, loses $169,550
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just bet $169,550 on the New York Mets, hoping for a $228,175 payday.
This whale thinks the Mets have a 42.6% chance, while the market only gives them 40.5%. Sound contrarian logic, like finding a diamond in a coal mine.
But oh, the execution! This single trade is 75.12% of the total market volume. It's like trying to sneak a battleship into a kiddie pool. Severe market slippage, folks.
The smart money? They're laughing. Top whales are 6-to-4 for the Dodgers, and their biggest whale holds 267,851.15 shares, all in profit. Even one Mets whale jumped ship with a measly $550 PnL.
Days remaining? N/A. Hard deadline? TBD.
With a 1.3:1 risk/reward, this is an average trade. Good brain, terrible trigger finger. This whale didn't just move the market; they *became* the market.
Market Context: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles DodgersMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves to 'New York Mets' if they win the game, and to 'Los Angeles Dodgers' if the Dodgers win. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
The game is scheduled for April 13 at 10:10 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market will stay open until the game is completed, and resolution data should be available within 24 hours of the game's conclusion.
The primary source for resolution is the official final statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If these are not published within 24 hours after the game, a consensus of credible reporting will be used instead.
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played. If the game is canceled or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
A common misunderstanding is assuming a fixed resolution date, as the market will remain open indefinitely if the game is postponed until it is eventually played.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Mets, Dodgers, Mets Dodgers
Relevant tweets: 25
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The Mets are playing like a meme stock after a rug pull, limping in on a 5-game skid. But don't let the 0-1 shutout fool you: this $350 million lineup, now with 38-year-old Tommy Pham (wearing #39, last seen on Díaz in 2025), isn't just "bad luck" as Bichette claims; it's a ticking time bomb of talent due for regression.
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts just dropped a psychological atomic bomb, reminding everyone Edwin Díaz is "chasing a ring" with the Dodgers. Talk about bulletin board material.
The market's got the Mets priced like a Blockbuster video store at +144. Whales are swimming with the Dodgers, but don't throw out the baby with the bathwater. The Mets are volatile — capable of beating the Dodgers, then losing to a minor league team. This isn't just a game; it's a $1.07 billion psychological battle.
Fade the public's FUD. The Mets are a classic "buy low" dilemma. Watch for live-betting opportunities, especially if Díaz closes against his former team. The narrative alone will be priceless.
KOL — High Relevance (1)
KOL — Medium Relevance (6)
Retail — High Relevance (6)
Retail — Medium Relevance (10)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold Los Angeles Dodgers positions. Largest position: 267,851.15 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5721 | 0.5950 | 267,851.15 | +$6,120.93 |
| 2 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | New York Mets | 0.0000 | 0.4050 | 11,255.65 | +$4,558.54 |
| 3 | 0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5800 | 0.5950 | 110,000 | +$1,650 |
| 4 | 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5755 | 0.5950 | 43,879.9 | +$851.62 |
| 5 | 0xfe787d2da716d60e8acff57fb87eb13cd4d10319 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5699 | 0.5950 | 25,202 | +$630.05 |
| 6 | 0xcd2148ed7ff719ed4a19a632e0be01527697a494 | New York Mets | 0.3900 | 0.4050 | 0 | +$550 |
| 7 | 0x507e52ef684ca2dd91f90a9d26d149dd3288beae | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5734 | 0.5950 | 24,242.88 | +$522.09 |
| 8 | 0xc660ae71765d0d9eaf5fa8328c1c959841d2bd28 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.5850 | 0.5950 | 48,700 | +$485.54 |
| 9 | 0xc8075693f48668a264b9fa313b47f52712fcc12b | New York Mets | 0.3999 | 0.4050 | 85,941.22 | +$429.71 |
| 10 | 0xa697d0b3fff7d285a0f92d6ee03a7f97809e59d5 | New York Mets | 0.4099 | 0.4050 | 999.99 | +$399.51 |