RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg
delboytrotter placed $351,229.44 BUY Yes on Polymarket, betting on "RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg" (RC Celta de Vigo) at odds 0.54 (market gives 54.0% probability). Total market volume $3,302,655.811, 24h volume $3,297,998.345, heat level: Very Hot.
Odds Analysis: RC Celta de Vigo, Yes at 0.54
If correct, $351,229.44 becomes $650,425.44 (profit $299,196)
If wrong, loses $351,229
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $351,229 on "Yes" for RC Celta de Vigo, with 0 days left on the clock. This whale is risking everything for $299,196 profit.
A brutal 0.9:1 risk/reward ratio. Especially when the market gives "Yes" only a 54.0% chance.
This isn't just a bet; it's a 10.63% market-moving cannonball. A defiant stand.
Among the top 10 holders, it's 4 "Yes" against 6 "No." This trader isn't just high conviction; they're practically yelling "Hold My Beer" at the majority.
An average, high-risk trade. The hard deadline is TBD, but resolution is clear. May their conviction be stronger than the market's skepticism.
Market Context: RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg RC Celta de VigoMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves to 'Yes' if RC Celta de Vigo wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, if RC Celta de Vigo loses, draws, or if the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'.
The game is scheduled for April 16, 2026. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed. Resolution data should be published within 2 hours after the game's conclusion.
The primary source for resolution is the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If these are not published within 2 hours after the game, a consensus from credible news reports will be used instead.
If the game is postponed, the market will stay open until it is played. If the game is canceled completely and not rescheduled, the market will resolve 'No'. Draws are treated as a 'No' outcome.
It's easy to misunderstand that only the score within the initial 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Also, a draw means the market resolves 'No', not just a loss for RC Celta de Vigo.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Celta Vigo, Freiburg, CeltaFreiburg
Relevant tweets: 37
KOL — High Relevance (2)
KOL — Medium Relevance (10)
Retail — High Relevance (6)
Retail — Medium Relevance (10)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold No positions. Largest position: 350,000 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x525e4001f6dad9406dfd84f3331d2b9b95c40b73 | Yes | 0.0000 | 0.5350 | 18,255.56 | +$9,766.72 |
| 2 | 0xb768891e3130f6df18214ac804d4db76c2c37730 | Yes | 0.0000 | 0.5350 | 15,635.5 | +$8,364.99 |
| 3 | 0xb768891e3130f6df18214ac804d4db76c2c37730 | No | 0.0000 | 0.4650 | 8,083.03 | +$3,758.61 |
| 4 | 0x08f0ee219134c06cbca53508c49738098ac0b809 | No | 0.4550 | 0.4650 | 0 | +$2,255.68 |
| 5 | 0xb90494d9a5d8f71f1930b2aa4b599f95c344c255 | No | 0.4600 | 0.4650 | 0.11 | +$2,200 |
| 6 | 0x72b40c0012682ef52228ad53ef955f9e4f177d67 | Yes | 0.5100 | 0.5350 | 83,796.98 | +$2,094.92 |
| 7 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | No | 0.4600 | 0.4650 | 350,000 | +$1,750 |
| 8 | 0xfd2930a094c0a6900a2dc947e5db462d11ae77ae | Yes | 0.5280 | 0.5350 | 200,262.41 | +$1,382.81 |
| 9 | 0x6ade597c0e2b43c0bf3542cada8a5e330d73f5b0 | No | 0.4600 | 0.4650 | 259,929.99 | +$1,299.65 |
| 10 | 0x709e8dcb133555794decc598e07f2c923b8366f5 | No | 0.4600 | 0.4650 | 191,506.3 | +$957.53 |