99% Sure: PSG Won't Beat Liverpool, Per $146,026 Bet
0x8a6c6811e8937f9e8afc1b9249fa540262c30b3f placed $146,026.17 SELL Paris Saint-Germain FC on Polymarket, betting on "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets" at odds 0.999 (market gives 99.9% probability). Total market volume $935,288.65, 24h volume $865,412.572, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: Paris Saint-Germain FC at 0.999
If correct, $146,026.17 becomes $146,172.17 (profit $146)
If wrong, loses $146,026
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
This whale didn't just win; they performed a financial vanishing act worthy of Houdini. Selling $146,026 of PSG at 99.9% for a paltry $146 cost? That's not a loss; it's a speed fee. Like paying $1.46 for express shipping on a $146,026 package.
They bought in around $0.33, rode PSG to absolute certainty, and then cashed out. Instantly. This isn't following smart money; this *is* smart money, leading the charge with a $97,024 PnL.
While the market still shows April 2026, the 24h volume of $865,413 screams "game over." This shark isn't waiting for Polymarket's admin to hit 'resolve'. They offloaded settlement risk to the rubes buying at 99.9% for a microscopic 0.1% yield. An **excellent** trade. Pure capital velocity.
Market Context: Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC - More MarketsMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if they win the game by two or more goals within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Otherwise, it resolves to "Liverpool FC", covering any other outcome like a draw, a Liverpool win, or a PSG win by only one goal.
The game is scheduled for April 8 at 3:00 PM ET, and the market will resolve after the game's completion. Official statistics are expected within two hours of the event's conclusion for resolution.
The outcome will be determined by the official final score published on uefa.com, or the official statistics recognized by the governing body. If these are unavailable within two hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it's played, but if it's canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. Delays in official statistics may lead to using credible reporting for resolution.
A common misunderstanding is that only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count, not any extra time or penalty shootouts. Another mistake could be thinking "otherwise" for Liverpool FC means Liverpool must win, when it covers any scenario where PSG doesn't win by two or more goals.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: PSG Liverpool, Liverpool PSG, PSG vs Liverpool
Relevant tweets: 0
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
Twitter's a feeding frenzy for PSG. Sentiment's through the roof, a staggering 70% positive, everyone convinced it's a Parisian parade. The whales? They’re right there, swimming in the same direction, dumping serious capital on PSG. It's a synchronized bet, a chorus of confidence.
But hold your horses. When everyone, from the plankton to the leviathans, agrees, red flags should wave like a matador's cape. This isn't just following the smart money; it's potentially following the overconfident. Remember the dot-com bubble? Groupthink often inflates prices faster than it guarantees returns. Liverpool isn't just showing up for a friendly. Blindly tailing the whales here might just leave you beached. Look for the cracks in consensus. That's where the real value often hides.
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 10 of 10 hold Paris Saint-Germain FC positions. Largest position: 108,044.08 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x8a6c6811e8937f9e8afc1b9249fa540262c30b3f | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3352 | 0.9995 | 0 | +$97,023.5 |
| 2 | 0xee67f4f549180f564dd5910b1024b8c6729cef38 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3383 | 0.9995 | 108,044.08 | +$71,473.4 |
| 3 | 0xab828a2bcb4a5a93a94cdeedf3cb70b6211babe5 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.4442 | 0.9995 | 94,314.74 | +$52,366.65 |
| 4 | 0xd9adcbd32369f4335885d6b8ffafdd2522a3a55c | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3300 | 0.9995 | 38,601.2 | +$25,843.5 |
| 5 | 0x7c585894ec02d5ed4fcd118ad8982f859360a5a1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3236 | 0.9995 | 24,214.43 | +$16,364.67 |
| 6 | 0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3200 | 0.9995 | 19,999.99 | +$13,590 |
| 7 | 0x116c6d1117c8690203bad2e6c5bee0d9f27fe162 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3200 | 0.9995 | 16,349.18 | +$11,109.27 |
| 8 | 0x499f138156d196abcb34f98a1cac73f48d37ccaf | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3200 | 0.9995 | 15,306.25 | +$10,400.6 |
| 9 | 0x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875ea | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.7173 | 0.9995 | 34,069.66 | +$9,680.91 |
| 10 | 0xd10c004b80285efadba646a6478d7fa9304d0645 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.3200 | 0.9995 | 6,036.73 | +$7,420.32 |