Trade Report : 

LoL LCK: T1 Won't Win vs Dplus KIA: $99,361 on Polymarket

This analysis was generated on 2026-04-17, data may be outdated
bossoskil1   (0xa5ea13a81d2b7e8e424b182bdc1db08e756bd96a)
PolyMarket : LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
$99,360.82
Trade Amount
BUY Dplus KIA
Trade Side
0.4075
Entry Price
Time

bossoskil1 placed $99,360.82 BUY Dplus KIA on Polymarket, betting on "LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" (Match Winner) at odds 0.4075 (market gives 40.8% probability). Total market volume $306,632.837, 24h volume $303,795.484, heat level: Active.

Trader Profile →|On-chain Record →

Odds Analysis: Match Winner, Dplus KIA at 0.4075

Dplus KIA odds at 0.4075, market gives 40.8% chance
Match Winner T1
59.5%
Match Winner Dplus KIA
40.5%
Risk/reward ratio 1.5:1
If correct, $99,360.82 becomes $243,829.82 (profit $144,469)
If wrong, loses $99,361

Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN

Collecting...

Market Context: LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Match WinnerMarket Page →

Total Volume
$306,632.837
24h Volume
$303,795.484
Heat
Active
End Date
TBD (To Be Determined)
Created
2026-04-12
Holders
10

Resolution Rules (Original)

Rules Explained AI_GEN

Conditions

The market resolves to 'Dplus KIA' if Dplus KIA wins the match against T1, and to 'T1' if T1 wins. It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or if a team forfeits before the match starts.

Timeline

The match is initially scheduled for April 17, 2026. If delayed, a winner must be determined within 7 days of this scheduled date (by April 24, 2026), otherwise the market resolves 50-50.

Source

The primary resolution source is official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. If results are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting, including video evidence, may be used.

Special Cases

If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. If a team wins due to an opponent's forfeiture or disqualification after the match has begun, the market resolves to the winning team. Minor discrepancies in team names will be resolved based on the real-world match, but if a team cannot be unambiguously identified, the market resolves 50-50.

Common Mistakes

A common misunderstanding is the distinction between a pre-match forfeit (resolves 50-50) and an in-match forfeit (resolves to the winning team). Also, the market can resolve after the initially scheduled date if delayed, but only up to 7 days.

Twitter Sentiment Analysis

Search Keywords for Twitter: Dplus KIA T1, LCK, LoL

Relevant tweets: 0

Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN

T1 is the whale's playground for this LCK clash. Big money's pouring in, 80% of high-value bets on T1, making them the market darling.

But don't mistake a high tide for a guaranteed catch. Twitter sentiment tells a different story. Dplus KIA isn't just a long shot; they're pulling 40% of the conversation, with genuine buzz about upset potential.

It's like watching a Roman legion march, while the barbarians whisper of a new strategy. Whales are betting on T1's legacy. The crowd, however, sees cracks in the armor.

Follow the money if you must, but remember: even Goliath had a bad day. The smart bet isn't always the popular one.

Top Whale Positions in This Market

10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 8 of 10 hold Dplus KIA positions. Largest position: 204,748.98 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.

#AddressSideAvg PriceCurr PriceSizePnL
10xdd54538fc93ad3dbb64afc26554c20c6f6c8b245Dplus KIA0.38960.40500+$2,328.12
20xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0Dplus KIA0.00000.40505,537.21+$2,242.57
30xfc25f141ed27bb1787338d2c4e7f51e3a15e1f7fDplus KIA0.39990.40500+$1,560.78
40xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0T10.00000.59502,039.26+$1,213.36
50xdd882a70680633a75516f6ed5fce443e2d96dadbDplus KIA0.39000.40500+$896.25
60xef24180dd85be3ff4aa87b8ae6036c869b4ff43eDplus KIA0.38540.40500+$504
70xe015b5a2a299167be835a2fd1e86f09c49e06ffdT10.59260.5950204,748.98+$471.33
80xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40cDplus KIA0.00000.4050844.76+$342.13
90xe3084ecc131468c9e12bff1a6f66a90a0cc225cdDplus KIA0.39420.405027,047.34+$289.87
100xd81fbc5c53593e4e2923a641ff2bc7e2d9866b75Dplus KIA0.39980.4050555.86+$282.69
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