Hawks Beat Cavaliers? $180,048 Bet on Polymarket Says No Way
Feveey placed $180,047.72 BUY Cavaliers on Polymarket, betting on "Hawks vs. Cavaliers" at odds 0.52 (market gives 52.0% probability). Total market volume $295,445.064, 24h volume $295,445.064, heat level: Active.
Odds Analysis: Cavaliers at 0.52
If correct, $180,047.72 becomes $346,245.72 (profit $166,198)
If wrong, loses $180,048
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
A whale just punted $180,048, betting the Cavaliers will win by a *minimum* of 4 points. Talk about conviction. This isn't just a bet; it's a statement.
Sniffing out that sweet, sweet zero-vig entry at 52% implied probability? Genius. You're basically telling sportsbooks to eat dirt. And 8 of the top 10 whales agree. Smart money indeed.
But here’s the kicker: this titan *is* the market. A staggering 60.94% of total volume. You didn't just buy in, pal, you *became* the order book. That's not a position; it's a prison.
Try exiting when Donovan Mitchell suddenly gets a hangnail. There's no door, only a brick wall. You’re locked in, baby.
Good EV play, sure. But as a risk manager, you just jumped off the Hindenburg without a parachute. Hope those Cavs show up, because you're holding until the bitter end.
Market Context: Hawks vs. CavaliersMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves 'Cavaliers' if the Cavaliers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, including if the game ends in a tie, it resolves 'Hawks'.
The game is scheduled for April 8 at 7:00 PM ET, and the market will resolve after the game is completed. If postponed, the market remains open until the game finishes.
Not specified in the rules
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it's completed; if canceled entirely without a make-up, it resolves 50-50. A tie game resolves to 'Hawks'.
A common misunderstanding could be overlooking the specific requirement that the Cavaliers must win by at least 4 points for a 'Cavaliers' resolution.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Hawks, Cavaliers
Relevant tweets: 0
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The Twitterverse is screaming 'Cavaliers,' with a whopping 75% bullish sentiment echoing through the timelines. It's a full-throttle hype train, everyone clambering aboard.
But glance at the deep pockets, the true titans of the market. Whales? They're showing a mere 35% bullish on the Cavs.
That's a Grand Canyon-sized gap. The retail crowd is treating the Cavs like Bitcoin in 2021, while the smart money is whispering 'fade.'
Remember the dot-com bubble? Or that Dogecoin pump? When the herd goes full lemming, the whales often quietly cash out.
Your move, sheep or shark? The big fish are betting against the public's fervor. Decide if you're chasing FOMO or playing chess.
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 8 of 10 hold Cavaliers positions. Largest position: 197,000 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Cavaliers | 0.0000 | 0.5150 | 8,905.45 | +$4,586.31 |
| 2 | 0xc8075693f48668a264b9fa313b47f52712fcc12b | Cavaliers | 0.5000 | 0.5150 | 197,000 | +$2,955 |
| 3 | 0x6ade597c0e2b43c0bf3542cada8a5e330d73f5b0 | Cavaliers | 0.4961 | 0.5150 | 20,000.71 | +$377.79 |
| 4 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Hawks | 0.0000 | 0.4850 | 653.47 | +$316.93 |
| 5 | 0x37c1874a60d348903594a96703e0507c518fc53a | Cavaliers | 0.5100 | 0.5150 | 18,577.1 | +$92.89 |
| 6 | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40c | Cavaliers | 0.0000 | 0.5150 | 174.72 | +$89.98 |
| 7 | 0x27f738fe203827445690339104aae35b20bc44b0 | Cavaliers | 0.5100 | 0.5150 | 12,326.1 | +$61.63 |
| 8 | 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf | Cavaliers | 0.5100 | 0.5150 | 11,845.1 | +$59.23 |
| 9 | 0xd1001f4ef07ee37774934a8bc0083185ef6b853d | Cavaliers | 0.5000 | 0.5150 | 3,335.35 | +$50.03 |
| 10 | 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf | Hawks | 0.4699 | 0.4850 | 1,694.49 | +$25.42 |