A $88,000 Bet Backs Liverpool FC to Beat Everton FC
gfjoigfsjoigsjoi placed $88,000 BUY Yes on Polymarket, betting on "Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC" (Liverpool FC) at odds 0.44 (market gives 44.0% probability). Total market volume $994,034.653, 24h volume $968,885.182, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: Liverpool FC, Yes at 0.44
If correct, $88,000 becomes $200,000 (profit $112,000)
If wrong, loses $88,000
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $88,000 betting 'Yes' on Liverpool, eyeing a $112,000 payday.
But the market's top brass? Eight of the top ten holders are firmly on 'No', already swimming in profit.
Their average entry: a smug $0.5600 to $0.5699.
This $88,000 plunge represents 9.08% of recent volume. A concentrated bet, with 0 days to the scheduled match.
Even a draw resolves to 'No', a total loss. Game canceled? Still 'No'.
This isn't a bet; it's a $88,000 donation to the smart money.
You need a 44.0% win probability just to break even.
The house, and the whales, are laughing. Hard.
Market Context: Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC Liverpool FCMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves 'Yes' if Liverpool FC wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, if Liverpool FC loses, draws, or the game is canceled entirely without a make-up, the market resolves 'No'.
The game is scheduled for April 19, 2026, and the market will resolve shortly after its completion. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is eventually played.
The primary source for resolution is the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If these are not published within 2 hours of the game's end, a consensus of credible news reports will be used instead.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up, the market resolves 'No'. Only the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
A common misunderstanding is that a draw would lead to a 'Yes' or a special outcome; however, a draw means Liverpool FC did not win, so it resolves 'No'. Also, only the regular play time counts, not any overtime periods.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Everton FC, Liverpool FC, Everton vs Liverpool
Relevant tweets: 32
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
Liverpool backers, wake up! The market’s sleepwalking, ignoring Slot’s Reds are crippled by *seven* injuries. Salah’s return? A Trojan horse, masking a squad thinner than a supermodel's patience.
Everton, meanwhile, are sniffing Champions League, just 2 points away. First derby at Hill Dickinson isn't just a stadium; it's a crucible of chaos. Liverpool hasn't won this away fixture since 2021 – a statistical ghost haunting their odds.
Wait for Slot's 9 AM BST presser on Isak's fitness before you even *think* about LFC. Smart money is on Everton, or "Draw No Bet." Also, Konate, Beto, Gueye: their foul rates are screaming "Over" for prop bets. Don't be a mark; follow the whales.
KOL — High Relevance (10)
KOL — Medium Relevance (3)
Retail — High Relevance (10)
Retail — Medium Relevance (3)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 8 of 10 hold No positions. Largest position: 243,408.88 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x525e4001f6dad9406dfd84f3331d2b9b95c40b73 | Yes | 0.0000 | 0.4250 | 17,607.39 | +$7,483.14 |
| 2 | 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966 | No | 0.0000 | 0.5750 | 3,579.41 | +$2,058.16 |
| 3 | 0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0 | No | 0.5600 | 0.5750 | 119,999.95 | +$1,800 |
| 4 | 0xb768891e3130f6df18214ac804d4db76c2c37730 | Yes | 0.0000 | 0.4250 | 3,430.27 | +$1,457.87 |
| 5 | 0x57cd939930fd119067ca9dc42b22b3e15708a0fb | No | 0.5699 | 0.5750 | 243,408.88 | +$1,217.04 |
| 6 | 0x37c1874a60d348903594a96703e0507c518fc53a | No | 0.5620 | 0.5750 | 65,692.06 | +$853.73 |
| 7 | 0x5c3a1a602848565bb16165fcd460b00c3d43020b | No | 0.5600 | 0.5750 | 50,000 | +$750 |
| 8 | 0xf3c73f43afd680a35b4c65af727ebf7a495dc83b | No | 0.5600 | 0.5750 | 49,343 | +$740.14 |
| 9 | 0x39d3c773be30fcc73161fc6768f46d563a779ef0 | No | 0.5699 | 0.5750 | 144,999.61 | +$725 |
| 10 | 0x7ea571c40408f340c1c8fc8eaacebab53c1bde7b | No | 0.5688 | 0.5750 | 106,026.32 | +$646.97 |