Trader Bets $88,000 on Liverpool FC to Win Everton Clash
gfjoigfsjoigsjoi placed $88,000 BUY Yes on Polymarket, betting on "Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC" (Liverpool FC) at odds 0.44 (market gives 44.0% probability). Total market volume $1,729,570.69, 24h volume $1,704,409.023, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: Liverpool FC, Yes at 0.44
If correct, $88,000 becomes $200,000 (profit $112,000)
If wrong, loses $88,000
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $88,000 betting on Liverpool FC to win, with exactly 0 days left on the clock. That's a $112,000 potential profit, sure, at a 1.3:1 risk/reward. But betting this late? It's like bringing a spoon to a knife fight, hoping for a miracle.
The market only gives "Yes" a 44.0% chance. Worse, 6 of the top 10 whales are on "No", with the largest "No" holder already swimming in profit. This isn't just contrarian; it's a "hold my beer" moment against the collective wisdom.
This $88,000 gamble, a hefty 5.09% of total volume, is less a calculated move and more a desperate dart throw. With severe time decay and smart money laughing all the way to the bank, this trade is a masterclass in high-risk futility. Enjoy the bonfire, pal.
Market Context: Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC Liverpool FCMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves 'Yes' if Liverpool FC wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, it resolves 'No', which includes cases where Liverpool loses, draws, or if the game is canceled entirely without a make-up.
The game is scheduled for April 19, 2026. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed. Resolution will occur after the game's conclusion and the publication of official statistics.
The primary source for resolution is the official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If these statistics are not published within 2 hours after the game ends, a consensus from credible news reports will be used instead.
If the game is postponed, the market will stay open until the game is played. If the game is canceled completely with no make-up, the market resolves 'No'. Only the outcome within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
A common mistake is assuming that extra time or penalty shootouts contribute to the outcome, as only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time are considered. Another misunderstanding could be expecting the market to resolve 'Yes' if the game is canceled, when it actually resolves 'No' in that scenario.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Everton Liverpool, Merseyside Derby
Relevant tweets: 31
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
"Liverpool to win"? Hold your horses, chief. Sky Sports, not some rando on Reddit, just dropped the ultimate red flag: "Liverpool aren't favourites." That's the death knell for your straight moneyline.
Sure, Salah's back, a final Merseyside derby before his "end of an era." But Everton's new stadium? That's not just turf; it's a psychological black swan event, unpriced chaos. Experts like @WaruiJohn2 are calling an Everton 2-1. Liverpool's "injury probs" aren't helping.
The game's underway, so pre-match odds are history. Betting on Liverpool now is a fool's errand. This isn't your grandad's derby. Value's with Everton or the Draw. Or, if you're feeling spicy, Salah shots on target. Don't fall for the brand name; the smart money is elsewhere.
KOL — High Relevance (10)
KOL — Medium Relevance (2)
Retail — High Relevance (10)
Retail — Medium Relevance (1)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold No positions. Largest position: 529,989.35 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xb768891e3130f6df18214ac804d4db76c2c37730 | Yes | 0.0000 | 0.4350 | 19,554.36 | +$8,506.15 |
| 2 | 0x525e4001f6dad9406dfd84f3331d2b9b95c40b73 | Yes | 0.0000 | 0.4350 | 17,607.39 | +$7,659.21 |
| 3 | 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966 | No | 0.0000 | 0.5649 | 5,695.74 | +$3,217.52 |
| 4 | 0x37c1874a60d348903594a96703e0507c518fc53a | No | 0.5602 | 0.5649 | 529,989.35 | +$2,466.04 |
| 5 | 0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a | Yes | 0.4232 | 0.4350 | 88,308.8 | +$1,069.24 |
| 6 | 0xb768891e3130f6df18214ac804d4db76c2c37730 | No | 0.0000 | 0.5649 | 1,574.38 | +$889.37 |
| 7 | 0x08f0ee219134c06cbca53508c49738098ac0b809 | Yes | 0.4299 | 0.4350 | 0.47 | +$773.25 |
| 8 | 0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0 | No | 0.5600 | 0.5649 | 146,340.09 | +$717.07 |
| 9 | 0x5c3a1a602848565bb16165fcd460b00c3d43020b | No | 0.5600 | 0.5649 | 100,000 | +$490 |
| 10 | 0xfbf3d501e88815464642d0e913f15379c3eeb218 | No | 0.5600 | 0.5649 | 85,597.86 | +$419.43 |