Trade Report : 

MIBR Wins PGL Bucharest CS? $290,998 Bet Says No Way

ARCHIVED - Historical analysis
Dhdhsjsj   (0x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15)
PolyMarket : Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
$290,998.21
Trade Amount
SELL MIBR
Trade Side
0.999
Entry Price
Time

Dhdhsjsj placed $290,998.21 SELL MIBR on Polymarket, betting on "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage" at odds 0.999 (market gives 99.9% probability). Total market volume $873,506.514, 24h volume $873,506.514, heat level: Hot.

Trader Profile →|On-chain Record →

Odds Analysis: MIBR at 0.999

MIBR odds at 0.999, market gives 99.9% chance
MIBR
91.0%
EYEBALLERS
8.9%
Risk/reward ratio 0:1
If correct, $290,998.21 becomes $291,289.21 (profit $291)
If wrong, loses $290,998

Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN

Most traders are still waiting for the mailman. This whale? They just paid $291 to *not* wait for their $290,998 payout on MIBR.

The match is over. MIBR won. A guaranteed 99.9% resolution. But holding capital hostage for a measly 0.1% profit? That's for peasants. This genius shed $291 like dead weight to instantly unlock $290,998.

This isn't a bet; it's a capital velocity masterclass. They dumped 33.31% of the market volume, not to move odds, but to move *money*. While you're celebrating a guaranteed $291, this whale's $290,998 is already hunting bigger game.

A cold, calculated move. The kind that makes you wonder if your "guaranteed win" is actually a slow loss of opportunity. Apex predator stuff.

Market Context: Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageMarket Page →

Total Volume
$873,506.514
24h Volume
$873,506.514
Heat
Hot
End Date
2026-04-07
Created
2026-04-06
Holders
10

Resolution Rules (Original)

Rules Explained AI_GEN

Conditions

This market resolves to 'MIBR' if MIBR wins the match, and to 'EYEBALLERS' if EYEBALLERS wins. It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or if a team wins by forfeit before the match starts.

Timeline

The match was initially scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 AM ET, and a delay beyond 7 days from this date without a winner will result in a 50-50 resolution. The primary resolution source should publish results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion.

Source

The primary resolution source is official information from hltv.org; however, if results are not published within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting, including video evidence, may be used. Minor team name discrepancies are ignored if the team is clearly identifiable, otherwise, the market resolves 50-50.

Special Cases

If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. Forfeits before the match starts also lead to 50-50, but if a team wins by forfeit after the match begins, that team is declared the winner.

Common Mistakes

A common misunderstanding is the difference in resolution for forfeits occurring before the match starts (50-50) versus those happening after the match begins (winner declared). Another point of confusion might be the 7-day delay limit for resolution.

Twitter Sentiment Analysis

Search Keywords for Twitter: MIBR, EYEBALLERS, PGL Bucharest

Relevant tweets: 31

Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN

MIBR just drop-kicked EYEBALLERS 2-0, sealing their PGL Bucharest playoff spot. The market's *over*, folks. If your platform still shows it open, congratulations, you've found the arbitrage fairy. Load up on MIBR; this isn't Nostradamus, it's a done deal confirmed by PGL, HLTV, and EYEBALLERS' own concession.

MIBR, riding high with Insani and Kl1m playing like gods, is your next momentum play for the quarterfinals. They're likely undervalued as the "first notable playoffs of 2026." EYEBALLERS? They're 2-2, riddled with "many mistakes" and T1 inexperience. Fade them harder than dial-up internet in their upcoming elimination match. They're a falling knife, not a phoenix.

KOL — High Relevance (7)

KOL@pglesportsverified122,552 flwQ:5/5newsbullish
MIBR defeated EYEBALLERS 2-0, securing their playoff spot with a 3-1 record, while EYEBALLERS fell to 2-2.
MIBR delivers a clean 2-0 over EYEBALLERS to secure their Playoff spot 🎟️🔥 They advance to 3-1 and qualify, while EYEBALLERS are falling to 2-2 📊 #PGLBucharest https://t.co/jXHN9ZfKg1
98 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@HLTVorgverified802,581 flwQ:4/5newsbullish
MIBR reached their first notable playoffs of 2026.
First notable playoffs of 2026 for @MIBR 🙌 https://t.co/bQTTRnHz8V
465 views2 rt16 likesER:0.0001RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@DRAFT5ggverified58,906 flwQ:4/5newsbullish
MIBR defeated EYEBALLERS easily and advanced to the quarterfinals of PGL Bucharest 2026.
🇧🇷 Seguimos! 🇷🇴 @MIBR vence @EYEBALLERS com tranquilidade para ir às quartas da #PGLBucharest 2026 https://t.co/GWyVcj6xGp
12 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@HLTVorgverified802,581 flwQ:4/5newsbullish
MIBR secured a playoff spot after a convincing 2-0 victory against EYEBALLERS.
MIBR book playoffs spot after convincing 2-0 against EYEBALLERS 💥 https://t.co/G48MrMlt0T
540 views2 rt14 likesER:0.0001RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@NogueiraRaony1 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
MIBR qualified for the next stage, though the user humorously suggests it was unintentional.
@MIBR @insani @LNZcsgo @brnz4n @kl1mcs2 @venomzeracs @LETN1CS Vaga conquistada de forma culposa, sem intenção de conseguir kkk dito isso, seguiremos torcendo.
258 views0 rt3 likesER:3.0000RR:258.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@CarolzinhaSGverified66,431 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR @insani @brnz4n Foco no objetivo!
11 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@CarolzinhaSGverified66,431 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR @insani @LNZcsgo @kl1mcs2 @brnz4n @LETN1CS @venomzeracs Aeee 🔥🔥🔥
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter

KOL — Medium Relevance (4)

KOL@Kleber700038 flwQ:3/5analysisbullish
MIBR is predicted to advance to tenth place if GG and passion/bestia win the tournament.
@nessyteras Creio que mibr ainda passa em décimo, caso a GG e a passion/bestia ganhe o camp
656 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0263RR:17.3Source: X/Twitter
KOL@dragosh_j20 flwQ:2/5opinionbearish
The user implies MIBR's current situation or performance is bad enough to warrant a disband.
@DRAFT5gg Mibr deu disband por menos.
1,531 views0 rt7 likesER:0.3500RR:76.5Source: X/Twitter
KOL@AnthonyAfonsoG128 flwQ:2/5opinionneutral
BC game lost to MIBR, implying BC game's poor performance.
@Ferdepre Bc game é tão ruim que perdeu pra mibr
683 views0 rt9 likesER:0.3214RR:24.4Source: X/Twitter
KOL@whataclownlz37 flwQ:1/5newsneutral
A list of teams including MIBR is mentioned.
@oTATOnetobr @klauslol1_ B8 PARI MONGOLZ FOKUS LEGACY MIBR
260 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0541RR:7.0Source: X/Twitter

Retail — High Relevance (10)

RETAIL@EYEBALLERSverified11,389 flwQ:5/5firsthandbearish
EYEBALLERS lost the match against MIBR.
Not much to say. 🥲 GG, @MIBR. https://t.co/NC8HGniX8e
48 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0002RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@maiazinfpsverified6,262 flwQ:3/5newsbullish
MIBR defeated EYEBALLERS 2-0 and qualified for the PGL Bucharest playoffs, with Insani and Kl1m performing well.
COM MAPASSO DE INSANI E KL1M O MIBR GANHA DO EYEBALLERS DE 2-0 e TÁ NOS PLAYOFFS DA PGL BUCHAREST! VAMOOOO! 🇧🇷 https://t.co/OJw0r508QH
12 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@raabellowqiverified203 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
MIBR won their match, leading to a successful bet.
@zuka_defi por aqui venceu ja legacy e mibr pagaram o almoço
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@CelahiR88246 flwQ:2/5opinionbearish
EYEBALLERS made many mistakes in the match.
@EYEBALLERS @MIBR Många misstag att täppa till. Men fler T1 matcher ger mer erfarenhet! ❤️🏆
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@gustavofpsgg691 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
MIBR is currently looking sharp.
@HLTVorg @MIBR MIBR looking sharp rn VAMOOOOO 🇧🇷
25 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@VKRYLIUK529 flwQ:2/5newsneutral
A link to the MIBR vs. EYEBALLERS match from PGL Bucharest 2026 Group Stage is provided.
[A] MIBR vs. EYEBALLERS - PGL Bucharest 2026 - Group Stage: https://t.co/4YwvpqrdK4
10 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@gustavofpsgg691 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR @insani @LNZcsgo @kl1mcs2 @brnz4n @LETN1CS @venomzeracs Muita evolução! 🇧🇷💙🇧🇷💙🇧🇷💙
6 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@felpscunha257 flwQ:1/5emotionbearish
@EYEBALLERS @MIBR 😥 levantar a cabeça e ir pro 3-2! ggs
4 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@l_flpe1,184 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR VAMOSSSS
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@_MarceloSarlo613 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR https://t.co/nLFmOX80v0
374 views1 rt9 likesER:0.0473RR:0.6Source: X/Twitter

Retail — Medium Relevance (8)

RETAIL@WNinfador120 flwQ:3/5opinionbullish
MIBR won their first series of the day 2-1, and has another series scheduled.
2X1 na primeira série do dia. Poderia ter sido 2X0, mas o importante é a vitória. Pra cima, que hoje ainda tem mais uma série. VAMO MIBR💙💙💙
24 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0083RR:0.2Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@PickR_gg20 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
MIBR's match is currently live as part of the PGL Bucharest Group Stage schedule.
PGL Bucharest Group Stage — next up at 12:00 CEST: @NRGgg and @mibr are already live. Then: TheMongolz vs Wildcard B8 vs Inner Circle Lock your CS2 picks. https://t.co/cpKAz9m3mO
29 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:1.4Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@VKRYLIUK529 flwQ:2/5newsneutral
Highlights of a Legacy vs MIBR match from PGL Bucharest 2026 are available.
Legacy vs MIBR - HIGHLIGHTS - PGL Bucharest 2026 | CS2 https://t.co/X2xIsLX0ZL
7 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@majuska092854 flwQ:2/5opinionneutral
The user speculates about MIBR potentially poaching players from other teams.
@austincsgo_ I have thought today that they can actually try to poach other team's VRS - and I am talking about MIBR. I don't want to see karrigan playing, let him rest ;d and frozen with Twistzz can stay(if frozen stays ofc) but what if: -karrigan, +LNZ -jcobbb, +insani -broky, +kl1m
204 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0185RR:3.8Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@spmvlrverified383 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@Nevsx7 @MIBR vambora velho.
39 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0026RR:0.1Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@Anso446618 flwQ:1/5emotionneutral
@EYEBALLERS @JW1 @CS2News_EN @Ozzny_CS2 🔥
75 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:4.2Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@nerifpss651 flwQ:1/5opinionneutral
@VesNvlr @VCTatualizado @remivlr @someone176211 Dps do mibr ac, sim 🫡
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@Nevsx750 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@spmvlr @MIBR idolo maximo ja pode fazer uma estatua na curuzu desses 5 + luck e nck
57 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0200RR:1.1Source: X/Twitter

Top Whale Positions in This Market

10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 10 of 10 hold MIBR positions. Largest position: 109,999.96 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.

#AddressSideAvg PriceCurr PriceSizePnL
10x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15MIBR0.59860.99950.01+$153,143.04
20xc257ea7e3a81ca8e16df8935d44d513959fa358eMIBR0.56990.9995109,999.96+$47,244.98
30x21ecbb95a15822bbdd4ab71345385a6056d95348MIBR0.58000.999529,929.63+$12,555.48
40x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875eaMIBR0.77110.999546,161.12+$10,539.09
50x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1MIBR0.57240.99959,999.99+$4,315.07
60xaebf3acc7c9add4928bd218f96de5cf64987e1caMIBR0.59000.99950.01+$3,565.37
70x1e850236e4cb7cde201b7a47a84a3f1cf4333015MIBR0.57990.99955,323.84+$2,233.36
80x1a5c09d9a082aaf2a543b1fc7bce36c41dd8a375MIBR0.51840.99952,966.74+$1,427.1
90x23073ad0c9dff45353cedb11760570b995663934MIBR0.79990.99956,761.87+$1,348.99
100x0438297892c91d46972046b3ced3108d4fb19d98MIBR0.59430.99952,991.64+$1,212.05
99.9% Sure: MIBR Loses PGL Counter-Strike, Per $76,910 Bet
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