Trade Report : 

99.9% Sure: MIBR Loses PGL Counter-Strike, Per $76,910 Bet

ARCHIVED - Historical analysis
Dhdhsjsj   (0x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15)
PolyMarket : Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
$76,910.21
Trade Amount
SELL MIBR
Trade Side
0.999
Entry Price
Time

Dhdhsjsj placed $76,910.21 SELL MIBR on Polymarket, betting on "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage" at odds 0.999 (market gives 99.9% probability). Total market volume $873,506.514, 24h volume $873,506.514, heat level: Hot.

Trader Profile →|On-chain Record →

Odds Analysis: MIBR at 0.999

MIBR odds at 0.999, market gives 99.9% chance
MIBR
91.0%
EYEBALLERS
8.9%
Risk/reward ratio 0:1
If correct, $76,910.21 becomes $76,987.21 (profit $77)
If wrong, loses $76,910

Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN

A whale just dropped $76,910 to net a measly $77, not betting on MIBR to win, but on Polymarket’s smart contract to resolve. This isn't trading, it's glorified janitor duty.

With a 0.0:1 risk/reward, risking $76,910 for $77, they're buying MIBR at $0.999 *after* the 2-0 sweep. The game's over, folks. This is a post-event arbitrage play, like picking up pennies from a fixed poker game.

This whale isn't a prophet; they’re an accountant, hoovering up the last 0.1% spread. It's a guaranteed 36.5% APY if resolution is fast. Pure yield farming for idle stables.

Their $76,910 trade, 8.8% of total volume, cleared out the last stragglers. The *real* whales, who bought MIBR at $0.51-$0.79, made bank. This guy just provided them an exit ramp.

A "good trade" if you’re a soulless quant. For the rest of us, it’s a reminder that even in crypto, some people just want to watch the numbers tick. Just don't get stuck waiting for that $77, because opportunity cost is a bitch.

Market Context: Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageMarket Page →

Total Volume
$873,506.514
24h Volume
$873,506.514
Heat
Hot
End Date
2026-04-07
Created
2026-04-06
Holders
10

Resolution Rules (Original)

Rules Explained AI_GEN

Conditions

This market resolves to 'MIBR' if MIBR wins the match, and 'EYEBALLERS' if EYEBALLERS wins. It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, delayed over 7 days without a winner, or if a team forfeits before the match starts, or if team names are ambiguous.

Timeline

The match was initially scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 AM ET; a delay beyond 7 days from this date without a winner will result in a 50-50 resolution. Official results from the primary source are expected within 2 hours after the event's conclusion.

Source

The primary resolution source is official information from hltv.org; if results are not published within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting, including video evidence, will be used.

Special Cases

Cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner will resolve the market 50-50. Forfeits before the match starts also resolve 50-50, but if a match begins and one team wins due to opponent's forfeiture, that team is declared the winner. Minor team name discrepancies are ignored, but ambiguous names resolve 50-50.

Common Mistakes

A common misunderstanding is confusing a forfeit that happens before the match starts (resolves 50-50) with one that occurs after the match begins (resolves to the winning team). Another mistake could be assuming minor team name variations will lead to a 50-50 resolution, when they are usually ignored if the team is clearly identifiable.

Twitter Sentiment Analysis

Search Keywords for Twitter: MIBR, EYEBALLERS, PGL Bucharest

Relevant tweets: 31

Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN

MIBR just delivered a 2-0 death blow to EYEBALLERS, securing a PGL playoff berth. Market resolved, folks. If you weren't on MIBR, you missed the boat – and the smart money’s payout.

EYEBALLERS? "Not much to say. 🥲 GG." They're 2-2, exposed like a poorly executed rush, riddled with "many mistakes" and a glaring "lack of T1 experience." This isn't rumour; @pglesports and @HLTVorg stamped it.

MIBR, with "Insani" and "Kl1m" shining, are riding a confidence wave. Future plays: MIBR is your quarterfinal dark horse. EYEBALLERS? Short them in their next do-or-die. Don't be the retail bag-holder betting on a team that just showed its hand.

KOL — High Relevance (6)

KOL@EYEBALLERSverified11,389 flwQ:5/5firsthandbullish
EYEBALLERS conceded defeat to MIBR.
Not much to say. 🥲 GG, @MIBR. https://t.co/NC8HGniX8e
48 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0002RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@HLTVorgverified802,581 flwQ:5/5newsbullish
MIBR secured a playoffs spot by convincingly defeating EYEBALLERS 2-0.
MIBR book playoffs spot after convincing 2-0 against EYEBALLERS 💥 https://t.co/G48MrMlt0T
540 views2 rt14 likesER:0.0001RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@pglesportsverified122,552 flwQ:5/5firsthandbullish
MIBR defeated EYEBALLERS 2-0 to secure a playoff spot, advancing to a 3-1 record, while EYEBALLERS fell to 2-2.
MIBR delivers a clean 2-0 over EYEBALLERS to secure their Playoff spot 🎟️🔥 They advance to 3-1 and qualify, while EYEBALLERS are falling to 2-2 📊 #PGLBucharest https://t.co/jXHN9ZfKg1
98 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@DRAFT5ggverified58,906 flwQ:4/5newsbullish
MIBR defeated EYEBALLERS easily to advance to the quarterfinals of PGL Bucharest 2026.
🇧🇷 Seguimos! 🇷🇴 @MIBR vence @EYEBALLERS com tranquilidade para ir às quartas da #PGLBucharest 2026 https://t.co/GWyVcj6xGp
6 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@HLTVorgverified802,581 flwQ:4/5newsbullish
MIBR has reached their first notable playoffs of 2026.
First notable playoffs of 2026 for @MIBR 🙌 https://t.co/bQTTRnHz8V
465 views2 rt15 likesER:0.0001RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@WNinfador120 flwQ:2/5opinionneutral
The author expresses disappointment with a past result for MIBR but maintains support for the team.
Não foi o resultado que queríamos, mas tudo bem. Amanhã tem mais. VAMO MIBR💙💙💙
45 views1 rt3 likesER:0.1917RR:0.4Source: X/Twitter

KOL — Medium Relevance (7)

KOL@pglesportsverified122,552 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
Provides a summary of today's results at PGL Bucharest 2026.
Today's results at PGL Bucharest 2026 on both streams< #PGLBucharest https://t.co/6lGwNVzCrI
3,330 views3 rt20 likesER:0.0007RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@pglesportsverified122,552 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
Provides the schedule for Day 3 of PGL Bucharest 2026.
🇷🇴 PGL Bucharest 2026 - Day 3 Schedule 📅 #PGLBucharest https://t.co/YD9Y5yTeB6
8,532 views5 rt71 likesER:0.0014RR:0.1Source: X/Twitter
KOL@dragosh_j20 flwQ:2/5opinionbearish
The author critically states that MIBR has disbanded for less severe reasons in the past, implying current dissatisfaction.
@DRAFT5gg Mibr deu disband por menos.
1,531 views0 rt7 likesER:0.3500RR:76.5Source: X/Twitter
KOL@peacemakerverified55,723 flwQ:2/5newsneutral
Announces a live stream for the MIBR vs Legacy match.
BOM DIA PRA QUEM É DO DIA.. BOA NOITE PRA QUEM É DA NOITE.. @MIBR vs @legacyggbr - AO VIVO E COM IMAGENS! Twitch, Youtube, Kick -> peacemaker https://t.co/Ywqqn7x6Ad
527 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@CarolzinhaSGverified66,431 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR @insani @LNZcsgo @kl1mcs2 @brnz4n @LETN1CS @venomzeracs Aeee 🔥🔥🔥
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@CarolzinhaSGverified66,431 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR @insani @brnz4n Foco no objetivo!
10 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@RocketBulletsverified35,447 flwQ:1/5newsneutral
Tarik might play for Sentinels if Jerrwin cannot enter the U.S., noting Tarik's past experience with MIBR and Cloud9 in CS.
🚨SOURCES: TARIK 🇺🇸 TO PLAY FOR SENTINELS? Jerrwin 🇮🇳 has still not been able to enter the U.S If he cannot play vs KRÜ 🇦🇷 on the 10th, Tarik will. Tarik previously played for MIBR and Cloud9 in CS:GO. He won the Boston Major in 2018 SEEMS TENZ 🇨🇦 WONT PLAY via @AkamaruVal https://t.co/Uk4R8DcAgD
200,899 views27 rt3,369 likesER:0.1103RR:5.7Source: X/Twitter

Retail — High Relevance (5)

RETAIL@maiazinfpsverified6,262 flwQ:4/5newsbullish
MIBR defeated EYEBALLERS 2-0 to qualify for the PGL Bucharest playoffs, with strong performances from Insani and Kl1m.
COM MAPASSO DE INSANI E KL1M O MIBR GANHA DO EYEBALLERS DE 2-0 e TÁ NOS PLAYOFFS DA PGL BUCHAREST! VAMOOOO! 🇧🇷 https://t.co/OJw0r508QH
12 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@VKRYLIUK529 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
Provides a link to the MIBR vs. EYEBALLERS match from PGL Bucharest 2026 Group Stage.
[A] MIBR vs. EYEBALLERS - PGL Bucharest 2026 - Group Stage: https://t.co/4YwvpqrdK4
10 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@felpscunha257 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
The author suggests EYEBALLERS lost the match against MIBR and needs to focus on future games.
@EYEBALLERS @MIBR 😥 levantar a cabeça e ir pro 3-2! ggs
4 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@CelahiR88246 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
The author notes EYEBALLERS made many mistakes but believes more T1 matches will provide valuable experience.
@EYEBALLERS @MIBR Många misstag att täppa till. Men fler T1 matcher ger mer erfarenhet! ❤️🏆
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@tozattimaia77 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
The author expresses excitement about MIBR's 'clutch win'.
@HLTVorg yesss mibr! such a clutch win. reminds me of this one time 7 years ago i choked a round so bad haha. more gaming stuff in my profile btw!
131 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0260RR:1.7Source: X/Twitter

Retail — Medium Relevance (10)

RETAIL@fluxoggCS10,844 flwQ:3/5newsbullish
MIBR is currently leading 1-0 in a match.
Mibr 1 a 0 e Legacy 1 a 0 também Vambora
47 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0001RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@PickR_gg20 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
MIBR is currently live in the PGL Bucharest Group Stage, with other matches scheduled.
PGL Bucharest Group Stage — next up at 12:00 CEST: @NRGgg and @mibr are already live. Then: TheMongolz vs Wildcard B8 vs Inner Circle Lock your CS2 picks. https://t.co/cpKAz9m3mO
29 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:1.4Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@gustavofpsgg691 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
The author believes MIBR is currently performing sharply.
@HLTVorg @MIBR MIBR looking sharp rn VAMOOOOO 🇧🇷
25 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@raabellowqiverified203 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
The author states that MIBR won, implying a successful bet.
@zuka_defi por aqui venceu ja legacy e mibr pagaram o almoço
3 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@VKRYLIUK529 flwQ:2/5newsneutral
Provides highlights for a match between Legacy and MIBR at PGL Bucharest 2026.
Legacy vs MIBR - HIGHLIGHTS - PGL Bucharest 2026 | CS2 https://t.co/X2xIsLX0ZL
7 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@bobinho1261,389 flwQ:2/5opinionneutral
The author is asking for the definition of 'vrs farming team' in the context of MIBR, BB, or 9z.
@owo_jamie what does vrs farming team mean in context of mibr, bb or 9z
278 views0 rt3 likesER:0.0022RR:0.2Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@gustavofpsgg691 flwQ:2/5opinionbullish
The author believes MIBR has shown significant evolution.
@MIBR @insani @LNZcsgo @kl1mcs2 @brnz4n @LETN1CS @venomzeracs Muita evolução! 🇧🇷💙🇧🇷💙🇧🇷💙
6 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@_MarceloSarlo613 flwQ:1/5emotionneutral
@MIBR https://t.co/nLFmOX80v0
374 views1 rt9 likesER:0.0473RR:0.6Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@Mibr_roots261 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR Vamo que vamo, chama
1,170 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0038RR:4.5Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@danielgoulding377 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
@MIBR @insani @LNZcsgo @brnz4n @kl1mcs2 @venomzeracs @LETN1CS Me divirto muito com o Mr Kl1m pqp
780 views0 rt10 likesER:0.0265RR:2.1Source: X/Twitter

Top Whale Positions in This Market

10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 10 of 10 hold MIBR positions. Largest position: 109,999.96 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.

#AddressSideAvg PriceCurr PriceSizePnL
10x5d58e38cd0a7e6f5fa67b7f9c2f70dd70df09a15MIBR0.59860.99950.01+$153,143.04
20xc257ea7e3a81ca8e16df8935d44d513959fa358eMIBR0.56990.9995109,999.96+$47,244.98
30x21ecbb95a15822bbdd4ab71345385a6056d95348MIBR0.58000.999529,929.63+$12,555.48
40x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875eaMIBR0.77110.999546,161.12+$10,539.09
50x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1MIBR0.57240.99959,999.99+$4,315.07
60xaebf3acc7c9add4928bd218f96de5cf64987e1caMIBR0.59000.99950.01+$3,565.37
70x1e850236e4cb7cde201b7a47a84a3f1cf4333015MIBR0.57990.99955,323.84+$2,233.36
80x1a5c09d9a082aaf2a543b1fc7bce36c41dd8a375MIBR0.51840.99952,966.74+$1,427.1
90x23073ad0c9dff45353cedb11760570b995663934MIBR0.79990.99956,761.87+$1,348.99
100x0438297892c91d46972046b3ced3108d4fb19d98MIBR0.59430.99952,991.64+$1,212.05
99.7% Odds: US Forces Will Enter Iran, Per $384,485 Bet
MIBR Wins PGL Bucharest CS? $290,998 Bet Says No Way