$133,645 Bet on Pavel Kotov for Busan — $65,825 Profit at Stake
Dhdhsjsj placed $133,644.8 BUY Pavel Kotov on Polymarket, betting on "Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov" at odds 0.67 (market gives 67.0% probability). Total market volume $325,240.439, 24h volume $322,331.446, heat level: Active.
Odds Analysis: Pavel Kotov at 0.67
If correct, $133,644.8 becomes $199,469.8 (profit $65,825)
If wrong, loses $133,645
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $133,645 on Pavel Kotov, hoping for a measly $65,825 profit. That's a 0.5:1 risk/reward, folks — betting a fortune for pocket change. This whale didn't just miss the boat; they bought a ticket on the Titanic at 67.0% odds, only to watch Kotov's chances immediately sink to 63.5%.
The top 10 whales, 6 of whom are chilling on Yi Zhou, are laughing all the way to the bank. They're up from their $0.33 entry while this trader bought into Twitter's fantasy, where $545,000 was supposedly wagered on Kotov. Newsflash: the entire market is only $325,240. That's not sentiment; it's verifiable fiction.
With only 5 days left until the deadline, this $133,645 bet faces a guillotine. A delay beyond 7 days guarantees a loss from the 50-50 rule. This isn't a trade; it's a masterclass in how to set money on fire.
Market Context: Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel KotovMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou wins the match, or 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov wins, even if by opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification. It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, or if there is a walkover.
The tennis match is scheduled for April 12. If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from this scheduled date (i.e., beyond April 19) without a winner determined, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary source for resolution is official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable or unclear.
The market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, delayed beyond 7 days from April 12 without a winner, or if there is a walkover. However, if a player advances due to an opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to that advancing player.
It is important to note that a player advancing due to an opponent's retirement or disqualification counts as a win, but a walkover (withdrawal before the match starts) results in a 50-50 resolution. Also, the 7-day delay rule is critical; if no winner is determined within this period, the market resolves 50-50.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Yi Zhou Kotov, Yi Zhou, Pavel Kotov
Relevant tweets: 5
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The whales have spoken, and they're not whispering. Over $545,000 just slammed on Pavel Kotov at 67-68% odds. This isn't pocket change, folks; this is "smart money" moving like a freight train. Yi Zhou? He just got served a reality check, losing to a "very limited" player with a serve-and-volley game. A tactical Achilles' heel exposed.
These aren't random bets. @PolyWhaleFeed and @DeuceDigest, the oracle of niche tennis, confirm the intel. The market's 68% for Kotov feels like a bargain bin special. Whales smell blood, implying Kotov's true probability is north of 75%.
Your move: tail the leviathan. But beware the "slippage monster." The whale already ate the best prices. Check if Kotov's game is Yi Zhou's kryptonite. If so, this isn't a bet; it's a declaration.
KOL — High Relevance (3)
KOL — Medium Relevance (1)
Retail — High Relevance (1)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold Yi Zhou positions. Largest position: 449,449.56 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Yi Zhou | 0.3310 | 0.3650 | 449,449.56 | +$15,242.18 |
| 2 | 0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1 | Yi Zhou | 0.3300 | 0.3650 | 201,581.27 | +$7,055.34 |
| 3 | 0x3b5c629f114098b0dee345fb78b7a3a013c7126e | Yi Zhou | 0.3312 | 0.3650 | 178,100 | +$6,014.62 |
| 4 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Pavel Kotov | 0.0000 | 0.6350 | 8,353.3 | +$5,304.35 |
| 5 | 0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9 | Pavel Kotov | 0.3600 | 0.6350 | 1,166.33 | +$320.74 |
| 6 | 0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9 | Yi Zhou | 0.3273 | 0.3650 | 3,703.17 | +$139.33 |
| 7 | 0xa02b34d4811c01d9b7682c8bc14769a48c6170d6 | Pavel Kotov | 0.3300 | 0.6350 | 429.09 | +$130.87 |
| 8 | 0xdc87b19600813a4cadc51bf2761aebf87d18ea3b | Pavel Kotov | 0.6099 | 0.6350 | 3,114.58 | +$77.87 |
| 9 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Yi Zhou | 0.0000 | 0.3650 | 127.06 | +$46.38 |
| 10 | 0xa9f5e5c9c761a0c7d692ba479028f778a5dd937f | Yi Zhou | 0.3099 | 0.3650 | 625.86 | +$34.42 |