Whale Bets $102,732 on Pavel Kotov to Win Busan Match
Dhdhsjsj placed $102,732.35 BUY Pavel Kotov on Polymarket, betting on "Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov" at odds 0.68 (market gives 68.0% probability). Total market volume $325,240.439, 24h volume $322,331.446, heat level: Active.
Odds Analysis: Pavel Kotov at 0.68
If correct, $102,732.35 becomes $151,077.35 (profit $48,345)
If wrong, loses $102,732
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Some whale just dropped $102,732 on Pavel Kotov, chasing a paltry $48,345 profit, and immediately found themselves in a mark-to-market loss. Buying at 68.0%? That's not a bet, that's a donation to the market gods. This Giga-Chad move, accounting for 31.59% of total volume, instantly backfired as odds retraced to 63.5% for Kotov. The market, it seems, has a sense of humor.
With only 5 days left until resolution, this whale is swimming against a tsunami. Six Top 10 holders are laughing all the way to the bank on Yi Zhou, holding massive positions while our hero's allies are mere minnows. And that 50-50 walkover rule? A guaranteed financial loss for a $0.68 buy. This isn't just a bad trade; it's a masterclass in how to turn a fortune into a cautionary tale. Someone get this whale a life raft.
Market Context: Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel KotovMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou wins the tennis match against Pavel Kotov, and to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov wins. It resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or if there is a walkover.
The match is scheduled for April 12. If a winner is not determined within 7 days of this scheduled date due to delays, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary source for resolution will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if needed.
If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves to the player who advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification. Cancellations, ties, walkovers, or delays exceeding 7 days without a winner will result in a 50-50 resolution.
A common misunderstanding might be expecting a winner to always be declared, as specific scenarios like walkovers or prolonged delays without a winner will result in a 50-50 outcome instead. Another mistake could be assuming an incomplete match due to retirement leads to 50-50, when it actually resolves to the advancing player.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Yi Zhou, Pavel Kotov, Busan
Relevant tweets: 6
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
The whales have spoken: $600K+ just slammed on Pavel Kotov at 67-68% for Busan. This isn't a bet; it's a declaration.
Yi Zhou? He just lost to a qualifier with "limited singles pedigree" who probably still uses a flip phone. Kotov looks like a god-king by comparison.
No dissent. The market's a unibrow. Smart money sees Kotov at 75%+.
But hold your horses. This isn't a free lunch. Whales can turn on a dime, leaving retail as chum. And remember, tennis injuries are the prediction market's equivalent of a sudden meteor strike.
Follow the money, but don't be a lemming. If you're not in at 67-68%, you're chasing. Know the rules, or you'll be playing Russian roulette with your portfolio.
KOL — Medium Relevance (2)
Retail — High Relevance (4)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold Yi Zhou positions. Largest position: 449,449.56 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Yi Zhou | 0.3310 | 0.3650 | 449,449.56 | +$15,242.18 |
| 2 | 0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1 | Yi Zhou | 0.3300 | 0.3650 | 201,581.27 | +$7,055.34 |
| 3 | 0x3b5c629f114098b0dee345fb78b7a3a013c7126e | Yi Zhou | 0.3312 | 0.3650 | 178,100 | +$6,014.62 |
| 4 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Pavel Kotov | 0.0000 | 0.6350 | 8,353.3 | +$5,304.35 |
| 5 | 0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9 | Pavel Kotov | 0.3600 | 0.6350 | 1,166.33 | +$320.74 |
| 6 | 0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9 | Yi Zhou | 0.3273 | 0.3650 | 3,703.17 | +$139.33 |
| 7 | 0xa02b34d4811c01d9b7682c8bc14769a48c6170d6 | Pavel Kotov | 0.3300 | 0.6350 | 429.09 | +$130.87 |
| 8 | 0xdc87b19600813a4cadc51bf2761aebf87d18ea3b | Pavel Kotov | 0.6099 | 0.6350 | 3,114.58 | +$77.87 |
| 9 | 0xe3f18acc55091e2c48d883fc8c8413319d4ab7b0 | Yi Zhou | 0.0000 | 0.3650 | 127.06 | +$46.38 |
| 10 | 0xa9f5e5c9c761a0c7d692ba479028f778a5dd937f | Yi Zhou | 0.3099 | 0.3650 | 625.86 | +$34.42 |