$60,709 On Sharks to Win Blackhawks Game — Polymarket Whale
beachboy4 placed $60,709.02 BUY Sharks on Polymarket, betting on "Blackhawks vs. Sharks" at odds 0.6 (market gives 60.0% probability). Total market volume $840,204.365, 24h volume $834,229.448, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: Sharks at 0.6
If correct, $60,709.02 becomes $101,182.02 (profit $40,473)
If wrong, loses $60,709
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just flushed $60,709 down the drain, buying Sharks shares at 60.0% implied probability *after* the Blackhawks had already won. This isn't trading; it's a digital dumpster fire.
With a 0.7:1 risk/reward, this whale bought a mathematically dead asset, providing 7.23% of the market's total volume as pure exit liquidity. Meanwhile, the top 10 whales were all on the Blackhawks, sipping champagne.
This wasn't a bet, it was a public service announcement for guaranteed alpha. Someone's bot needs a hard reset, or perhaps a long, quiet walk into the ocean. The arbitrage opportunity for others? Glistening.
Market Context: Blackhawks vs. SharksMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
The market resolves 'Blackhawks' if the Blackhawks win the game, and 'Sharks' if the Sharks win. The winner is determined by the final score, including any overtime or shootouts, with one goal added to the winning team's score if a shootout occurs.
The game is scheduled for April 6 at 10:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game has been completed.
The outcome is determined by the final score of the NHL game, including overtime and shootouts. The specific official source for this score is not specified in the rules.
If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up, the market will resolve 50-50.
A common misunderstanding could be overlooking that if the game goes to a shootout, one goal is specifically added to the winning team's score for the market's resolution, which might differ from the official score displayed.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Blackhawks, Sharks, Blackhawks Sharks
Relevant tweets: 34
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
That $186,229 whale bet on the Sharks? A colossal, public faceplant. Market priced San Jose at 60% probability, but the Blackhawks, the +133 underdogs, said "Hold my beer." @NHL confirms: Blackhawks won.
This isn't "smart money," it's "dumb money" on parade. Blindly following whale alerts is how you end up like Icarus, flying too close to the sun – and melting your portfolio. The whale got harpooned.
If your prediction market is still lagging, this is a literal free money glitch. Buy Blackhawks. Sell Sharks. Arbitrage is calling, don't let the oracle delay cost you. Real-world facts beat big money fictions every time.
KOL — High Relevance (7)
KOL — Medium Relevance (9)
Retail — High Relevance (9)
Retail — Medium Relevance (9)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 10 of 10 hold Blackhawks positions. Largest position: 283,294.27 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x6a72f61820b26b1fe4d956e17b6dc2a1ea3033ee | Blackhawks | 0.3955 | 0.4150 | 283,294.27 | +$5,508.66 |
| 2 | 0x5bec79df9add70a3892041ab1a5516b60f53b215 | Blackhawks | 0.4063 | 0.4150 | 232,540.91 | +$2,019.39 |
| 3 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | Blackhawks | 0.3999 | 0.4150 | 100,007.92 | +$1,500.52 |
| 4 | 0xa697d0b3fff7d285a0f92d6ee03a7f97809e59d5 | Blackhawks | 0.4100 | 0.4150 | 1,254.63 | +$949.28 |
| 5 | 0x0a2448ace3edd7deb995e6f4a6e7376623b24a1f | Blackhawks | 0.3799 | 0.4150 | 11,986.61 | +$419.54 |
| 6 | 0x25867077c891354137bbaf7fde12eec6949cc893 | Blackhawks | 0.3800 | 0.4150 | 9,999.16 | +$349.97 |
| 7 | 0x8bb6dfe57ac7d27c0735213cdc92634486f1cb97 | Blackhawks | 0.3800 | 0.4150 | 9,597 | +$335.89 |
| 8 | 0x6e5991c7d8d2b97b774d1146d2155b612e81beee | Blackhawks | 0.3899 | 0.4150 | 10,546.44 | +$263.67 |
| 9 | 0xe790b0e6bcdaca3c430fdaa4d86e2d8ae6e6eadc | Blackhawks | 0.3799 | 0.4150 | 4,017.26 | +$260.61 |
| 10 | 0x19254b55e7c48e88baab9e62cc218223a6544654 | Blackhawks | 0.4100 | 0.4150 | 51,542.66 | +$257.71 |