Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
yikaiz placed $79,610.31 SELL No on Polymarket, betting on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?" at odds 0.8921 (market gives 89.2% probability). Total market volume $3,973,595.539, 24h volume $47,880.126, heat level: Moderate.
Odds Analysis: No at 0.8921
If correct, $79,610.31 becomes $89,239.31 (profit $9,629)
If wrong, loses $79,610
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $79,610 betting Putin remains President, risking a fortune for a paltry $9,629 profit.
That's a 0.121:1 reward/risk ratio. Ouch.
This whale waltzed in 988 days before resolution, buying into an 89.2% market consensus.
Talk about being late to the party.
The other whales? They're already swimming in unrealized profits, having bought at $0.5000 or $0.5311.
This single trade, 166.27% of daily volume, moved the market, but for what?
988 days of black swan risk for pocket change.
An average trade? Leaning bad.
This isn't trading; it's donating.
Market Context: Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Market Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Putin, Russia, Putin out
Relevant tweets: 0
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 9 of 10 hold No positions. Largest position: 159,018.18 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x5c14eb6a6d5083c003daa8241ed559d2dc82cc49 | No | 0.5311 | 0.9050 | 61,021 | +$22,813.56 |
| 2 | 0x5a1cd342c117a4edb1e283a306ccfd60a3d4970a | No | 0.5000 | 0.9050 | 50,000 | +$20,250 |
| 3 | 0xa6d9b55a6a3a54a9d50ca94c64f00af69c50fd2f | Yes | 0.1050 | 0.0950 | 2,000 | +$16,045.5 |
| 4 | 0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4 | No | 0.5000 | 0.9050 | 38,000 | +$15,390 |
| 5 | 0x8a37fe3a49a36de9facd04bd09ee379211f7c99c | No | 0.5954 | 0.9050 | 32,726.31 | +$10,129.94 |
| 6 | 0x4b1ad2188e30c6e879a7f14d5a9900eba0e8d790 | No | 0.5000 | 0.9050 | 20,000 | +$8,100 |
| 7 | 0xf243214fe503da5e059824b668d6f43cf0835fb4 | No | 0.5021 | 0.9050 | 18,703.14 | +$7,700.75 |
| 8 | 0x02a17a92e6f673129b37d95359c7af628a3cdd72 | No | 0.5071 | 0.9050 | 15,136.36 | +$5,098.46 |
| 9 | 0x18abbfdb265d3221669cd1fabc0b2d00890bbae4 | No | 0.5000 | 0.9050 | 11,000 | +$4,455 |
| 10 | 0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3 | No | 0.8816 | 0.9050 | 159,018.18 | +$3,707.19 |