Trade Report :
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
lomneivan (0x1fee90f352fd362ea4bf13c6ed7cdd83a4d2ed5e)
PolyMarket : Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$85,392.69
Trade Amount
SELL No
Trade Side
0.9819
Entry Price
Time
lomneivan placed $85,392.69 SELL No on Polymarket, betting on "Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?" at odds 0.9819 (market gives 98.2% probability). Total market volume $31,154,384.929, 24h volume $878,653.533, heat level: Hot.
Odds Analysis: No at 0.9819
No odds at 0.9819, market gives 98.2% chance
Risk/reward ratio 0:1
If correct, $85,392.69 becomes $86,966.69 (profit $1,574)
If wrong, loses $85,393
If correct, $85,392.69 becomes $86,966.69 (profit $1,574)
If wrong, loses $85,393
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Collecting...
Market Context: Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Market Page →
Total Volume
$31,154,384.929
24h Volume
$878,653.533
Heat
Hot
End Date
2026-04-30
Created
2026-03-05
Holders
10
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Iranian regime fall April 30
Relevant tweets: 0
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 7 of 10 hold No positions. Largest position: 694,449.17 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1 | Yes | 0.0230 | 0.0180 | 0 | +$131,110.99 |
| 2 | 0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784 | No | 0.8645 | 0.9820 | 694,449.17 | +$81,577.64 |
| 3 | 0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35 | Yes | 0.0150 | 0.0180 | 0 | +$65,904.45 |
| 4 | 0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825 | Yes | 0.0220 | 0.0180 | 0 | +$43,935.25 |
| 5 | 0xce71bed9dd1418abc34d244730879d795e8683bc | No | 0.8846 | 0.9820 | 340,009.76 | +$33,114.23 |
| 6 | 0x63d43bbb87f85af03b8f2f9e2fad7b54334fa2f1 | No | 0.8927 | 0.9820 | 325,220.35 | +$29,025.27 |
| 7 | 0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e | No | 0.8877 | 0.9820 | 300,677.37 | +$28,341.55 |
| 8 | 0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b | No | 0.9228 | 0.9820 | 390,000.02 | +$23,958.53 |
| 9 | 0xe1194d05876b71b05572c1b59bd49a157f21e30f | No | 0.9318 | 0.9820 | 291,067.98 | +$16,962.21 |
| 10 | 0x79d980791ab82aff891eee32d41b4e1fbb07baec | No | 0.8500 | 0.9820 | 127,739.54 | +$16,861.62 |