UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis
newdogbeginning placed $221,394.79 BUY Yes on Polymarket, betting on "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis" (Bayern München) at odds 0.85 (market gives 85.0% probability). Total market volume $136,134.185, 24h volume $50,701.629, heat level: Moderate.
Odds Analysis: Bayern München, Yes at 0.85
If correct, $221,394.79 becomes $260,463.79 (profit $39,069)
If wrong, loses $221,395
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Someone just dropped $221,395 on Bayern München to advance to the semis.
A bold move, or a brain-dead one?
With just 35 days until the deadline, this whale is risking that fortune for a paltry $39,069 profit.
A 0.2:1 risk/reward? That's not a trade; it's a donation.
This isn't just a big bet. It's a liquidity black hole, accounting for 436.66% of 24-hour volume.
Our hero became the human-sized ATM for early "Yes" whales who've already cashed out, laughing all the way to the bank.
They bought at 85.0% implied probability, while 6 of the top 10 whales hold "No."
This isn't trading. It's being the patsy at the poker table, paying for everyone else's exit.
Ouch.
Market Context: UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis Bayern MünchenMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: UEFA Champions League: Team advance
Relevant tweets: 0
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold No positions. Largest position: 260,000 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x227e119bbe93db6ca74d98fb0f04c3fe709fe118 | Yes | 0.6700 | 0.8450 | 0.06 | +$2,470.07 |
| 2 | 0x9106cf79b02f85d8f1e546802ed916648f44afcb | No | 0.1500 | 0.1550 | 0 | +$1,723.02 |
| 3 | 0xd604ab303e351a9c829606aa7184b9bfd375cb5f | No | 0.1499 | 0.1550 | 5,810.6 | +$1,379.27 |
| 4 | 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1 | No | 0.1500 | 0.1550 | 260,000 | +$1,300 |
| 5 | 0xeffd76b6a4318d50c6f71a16b276c5b279445a86 | Yes | 0.6574 | 0.8450 | 0 | +$1,116.38 |
| 6 | 0xb8cb99744a121190b46d6a6f39bfcf52b6928f46 | Yes | 0.6600 | 0.8450 | 0 | +$360 |
| 7 | 0x6cff25615924313a189d3bcd5ca99db452cdc3da | No | 0.0499 | 0.1550 | 0.01 | +$257.71 |
| 8 | 0x1cdd071bb612de6d66d0c882b676c663697de595 | No | 0.1400 | 0.1550 | 0 | +$213.46 |
| 9 | 0x6c08208c8f6c69b7198eea0f9fcd1dc2f5f15c69 | No | 0.3300 | 0.1550 | 0 | +$169.99 |
| 10 | 0xffe7bc0ace62133defaab3133f436034115e471d | Yes | 0.6699 | 0.8450 | 746.27 | +$130.6 |