IEM Rio 2026 Winner FURIA: $71,757 Says No, but Will It Happen?
0x30c7ac0158499ddc6761047f7f69bcf7d036ac3b placed $71,757.4 BUY No on Polymarket, betting on "IEM Rio 2026 Winner" (FURIA) at odds 0.79 (market gives 79.0% probability). Total market volume $39,408.352, 24h volume $20,392.266, heat level: Moderate.
Odds Analysis: FURIA, No at 0.79
If correct, $71,757.4 becomes $90,832.4 (profit $19,075)
If wrong, loses $71,757
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Collecting...
Market Context: IEM Rio 2026 Winner FURIAMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
This market resolves to the specific team that wins the IEM Rio 2026 tournament. If the tournament is postponed past April 30, 2026, canceled, or if no winner is declared by that date, the market resolves to 'Other'.
The tournament is scheduled from April 13th to April 19th, 2026, and a winner must be declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for the market to resolve to a specific team.
The outcome will be determined by official information from the tournament organizer, ESL, or by a consensus of credible reporting like Liquipedia.
If the tournament is postponed past April 30, 2026, canceled, or if no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to 'Other'; in case of multiple winners, the alphabetically first team wins.
A common misunderstanding might be that the market resolves immediately after the tournament's scheduled end on April 19th, whereas the actual deadline for resolution or 'Other' conditions is April 30, 2026.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: IEM Rio 2026, FURIA, IEM Rio
Relevant tweets: 40
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
FURIA's in the IEM Rio 2026 Semi-Finals. Official. FalleN, the OG, is fragging like it's 2016 again (1.06 rating). NAVI? Eliminated. Poof. This isn't just home-field; it's a *carnival* buff for the Brazilians. The market's probably underpricing that psychological edge.
But hold your caipirinhas. Falcons just curb-stomped Vitality, proving they're not here for selfies. And remember the $631K whale money on a *group stage* match? These aren't retail fish; they're apex predators. Your "smart money" could be their bait.
FURIA looks juicy, two wins from glory. But hedge against Falcons' form. And for God's sake, use limit orders. Don't let the whales turn your investment into chum.
KOL — High Relevance (7)
KOL — Medium Relevance (10)
Retail — High Relevance (2)
Retail — Medium Relevance (10)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 7 of 10 hold Yes positions. Largest position: 99,999.98 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966 | No | 0.0000 | 0.7800 | 18,583.92 | +$14,495.46 |
| 2 | 0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f | Yes | 0.0312 | 0.2200 | 1,846.5 | +$1,075.98 |
| 3 | 0xc257ea7e3a81ca8e16df8935d44d513959fa358e | Yes | 0.2100 | 0.2200 | 99,999.98 | +$1,000 |
| 4 | 0x567464a8b6b5794c43282c4a9274e12b48ba8b14 | Yes | 0.0895 | 0.2200 | 4,999.65 | +$774.76 |
| 5 | 0xb768891e3130f6df18214ac804d4db76c2c37730 | No | 0.0000 | 0.7800 | 572.28 | +$446.38 |
| 6 | 0x9330786081a036fc3d95e543a24f81bd951d170a | Yes | 0.1064 | 0.2200 | 1,829.25 | +$207.8 |
| 7 | 0xe3726a1b9c6ba2f06585d1c9e01d00afaedaeb38 | Yes | 0.0312 | 0.2200 | 0.69 | +$203.82 |
| 8 | 0x91d757346e322976a9544dd07b9b7e3f58550dfc | No | 0.0000 | 0.7800 | 198.74 | +$155.02 |
| 9 | 0xc5403a67309b34f5936e429568bccf02726df00d | Yes | 0.0529 | 0.2200 | 0 | +$146.87 |
| 10 | 0x719394f746ec6014f7bcfc6150d9455bdc9aae51 | Yes | 0.0772 | 0.2200 | 950.91 | +$135.74 |