$82,817 On Avalanche vs. Golden Knights — Polymarket Whale Bet
bcda placed $82,816.64 BUY Avalanche on Polymarket, betting on "Golden Knights vs. Avalanche" at odds 0.56 (market gives 56.0% probability). Total market volume $208,960.892, 24h volume $179,445.178, heat level: Active.
Odds Analysis: Avalanche at 0.56
If correct, $82,816.64 becomes $147,886.64 (profit $65,070)
If wrong, loses $82,817
Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN
Some absolute degenerate just dropped $82,817 on the Avalanche, tied 3-3 in the third period. Betting on raw talent over "motivation asymmetry"? A cold, calculated rejection of narrative-driven hopium. Chef's kiss for the thesis.
Then they absolutely nuked the order book. This trade is 39.63% of *total* volume. You didn't just buy shares; you *became* the market. That wasn't slippage, that was a commercial airliner landing on a moped.
Now, you're paying fair value at 56% with a pathetic 0.8:1 risk/reward. And guess what? Zero exit liquidity. You're trapped, forced to ride this chaos to the bitter end.
Brilliant mind, butterfingers execution. High risk, high cringe. Enjoy the ride, you bought the whole damn rollercoaster.
Market Context: Golden Knights vs. AvalancheMarket Page →
Resolution Rules (Original)
Rules Explained AI_GEN
If the Golden Knights win the game, the market resolves to "Golden Knights"; if the Avalanche win, it resolves to "Avalanche". If the game is completely canceled with no make-up, the market resolves 50-50.
The game is scheduled for April 11 at 8:00 PM ET, but if it is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed.
The outcome is determined by the final score of the game, including any overtime periods and shootouts. For shootouts, one goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution.
If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if canceled entirely without a make-up, it resolves 50-50. Overtime and shootouts are included in the final score, with a specific rule for shootout goal counting.
A common misunderstanding might be how shootouts are scored for resolution, as one goal is added to the winning team's score. Also, the market does not resolve immediately if the game is postponed, but waits for the game to finish.
Twitter Sentiment Analysis
Search Keywords for Twitter: Golden Knights, Avalanche, Golden Knights Avalanche
Relevant tweets: 32
Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN
3-3, 3rd period. The market’s on a razor’s edge. That $147,886 whale on Avalanche at 56%? Likely a pre-game ghost. Don't be a lemming off the cliff. Colorado already popped the champagne. They’ve clinched best record, playing for golf tee times.
Vegas? This is their Thermopylae. Fighting for the Pacific lead, a playoff spot. Howden’s scoring, Hart’s in net. The motivation asymmetry screams. If the market still prices Avs heavily, it’s asleep at the wheel. Fade the whale. Vegas's desperation is the alpha. Snatch those mispriced odds.
KOL — High Relevance (7)
KOL — Medium Relevance (6)
Retail — High Relevance (10)
Retail — Medium Relevance (1)
Top Whale Positions in This Market
10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 6 of 10 hold Golden Knights positions. Largest position: 147,886.86 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.
| # | Address | Side | Avg Price | Curr Price | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xb45a797faa52b0fd8adc56d30382022b7b12192c | Avalanche | 0.5600 | 0.5649 | 147,886.86 | +$724.65 |
| 2 | 0x03e8a544e97eeff5753bc1e90d46e5ef22af1697 | Avalanche | 0.5500 | 0.5649 | 39,999.7 | +$596 |
| 3 | 0x8a6c6811e8937f9e8afc1b9249fa540262c30b3f | Avalanche | 0.5599 | 0.5649 | 89,285.71 | +$437.59 |
| 4 | 0x2dc46ea98bbbe080b801380812ac9d8f72300c92 | Golden Knights | 0.3924 | 0.4350 | 2,315.37 | +$98.52 |
| 5 | 0x25867077c891354137bbaf7fde12eec6949cc893 | Golden Knights | 0.3999 | 0.4350 | 2,499.98 | +$87.5 |
| 6 | 0x5f08519e69bc75e48d76af254744a3a46c945afb | Golden Knights | 0.4054 | 0.4350 | 2,944.12 | +$86.9 |
| 7 | 0xc689a0d300b442ca73050b19ad5b59b49f505250 | Golden Knights | 0.4300 | 0.4350 | 774.31 | +$48.39 |
| 8 | 0x68146921df11eab44296dc4e58025ca84741a9e7 | Avalanche | 0.5584 | 0.5649 | 100 | +$46.58 |
| 9 | 0x35ac8a75663d916ce8b9dcd33e443fb700b792a7 | Golden Knights | 0.3900 | 0.4350 | 1,007.42 | +$45.33 |
| 10 | 0x3177caa4fa99c43e6002e51055694bc31f67cb28 | Golden Knights | 0.4399 | 0.4350 | 199.83 | +$42.99 |