Trade Report : 

Spurs Won't Win 76ers vs. Spurs: $88,815 on Polymarket

ARCHIVED - Historical analysis
elshark206   (0x0eb75bf6f54794a83bd26095811f30b530161f17)
PolyMarket : 76ers vs. Spurs
$88,814.81
Trade Amount
SELL Spurs
Trade Side
0.999
Entry Price
Time

elshark206 placed $88,814.81 SELL Spurs on Polymarket, betting on "76ers vs. Spurs" at odds 0.999 (market gives 99.9% probability). Total market volume $154,403.853, 24h volume $154,403.853, heat level: Active.

Trader Profile →|On-chain Record →

Odds Analysis: Spurs at 0.999

Spurs odds at 0.999, market gives 99.9% chance
76ers
0.5%
Spurs
99.5%
Risk/reward ratio 0:1
If correct, $88,814.81 becomes $88,903.81 (profit $89)
If wrong, loses $88,815

Analysis of This Trade AI_GEN

Whale just dropped $88,815 on the Spurs to win. The twist? Spurs already *won* by 13 points. This isn't trading, folks. This is picking up pennies off the sidewalk *after* the bank truck crashed.

Risking $88,815 for a mere $89 profit. A 0.0:1 risk/reward ratio. The market gave Spurs 99.9% chance, but the game was already over. This isn't a prediction, it's post-game cleanup.

They vacuumed 57.52% of total volume. Basically, a liquidity provider for the impatient. Like waiting for your pizza delivery, but the pizza is already eaten.

Smart? Absolutely. A guaranteed short-term yield on idle capital. Like finding $89 in your winter coat pocket. But let's be real, this whale isn't a prophet. Just a very patient, very wealthy janitor.

Market Context: 76ers vs. SpursMarket Page →

Total Volume
$154,403.853
24h Volume
$154,403.853
Heat
Active
End Date
2026-04-07
Created
2026-03-31
Holders
10

Resolution Rules (Original)

Rules Explained AI_GEN

Conditions

The market resolves "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, it resolves "76ers", which includes scenarios where the 76ers win, the Spurs win by less than 8 points, or the game ends in a tie.

Timeline

The game is scheduled for April 6 at 8:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game has been completed.

Source

Not specified in the rules

Special Cases

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up, the market resolves 50-50. A tie game specifically resolves to "76ers".

Common Mistakes

A common misunderstanding might be that a tie game would result in a 50-50 resolution, but the rules clearly state it resolves to "76ers". Another mistake could be assuming a Spurs win of any margin resolves to "Spurs", when it requires an 8-point or more victory.

Twitter Sentiment Analysis

Search Keywords for Twitter: 76ers, Spurs

Relevant tweets: 38

Market Sentiment Summary AI_GEN

The 76ers just performed a masterclass in losing, proving even a Wemby-less Spurs (115-102) can hand them a decisive defeat.

Wemby exited with a rib contusion, but rookie Stephon Castle, channeling his inner 'next man up' meme, dropped his 5th triple-double (19/11/13). Whales are eyeing his future props.

Meanwhile, Embiid, despite 34 points, was reportedly limping, less MVP, more 'street clothes' meme. Philly's 43-36 record now ties them for 7-9th, staring down the Play-In gauntlet.

Fade the 76ers harder than a bad NFT project. Hedge those futures, folks. This isn't just a loss; it's a flashing red siren for anyone holding 76ers paper.

KOL — High Relevance (8)

KOL@JClarkNBCSverified285,742 flwQ:5/5firsthandneutral
Victor Wembanyama is heading to the locker room.
Victor Wembanyama is heading to the locker room now
16,106 views0 rt27 likesER:0.0001RR:0.1Source: X/Twitter
KOL@YahooSportsverified561,087 flwQ:4/5newsneutral
Victor Wembanyama will not return to Monday's game against the 76ers due to a left rib contusion.
Victor Wembanyama (left rib contusion) will not return to Monday’s game vs. the 76ers, after staying in the locker room to start the second half. https://t.co/djhSAOrzU5
6,115 views4 rt26 likesER:0.0002RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@JClarkNBCSverified285,742 flwQ:4/5newsbearish
Joel Embiid scored 34 points in 38 minutes, but the Sixers were still unable to get within single digits against the San Antonio Spurs, who played the second half without Victor Wembanyama.
Joel Embiid has 34 points in 38 minutes but the Sixers still can’t get within single digits against the San Antonio Spurs, who haven’t had Victor Wembanyama for the second half https://t.co/juOYefXjQX
2,564 views0 rt6 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@50NuancesDeNBAverified173,802 flwQ:4/5newsbearish
Stephon Castle achieved his 5th triple-double of the season with 19 points, 11 rebounds, and 13 assists, leading the Spurs to a win against the 76ers even without Victor Wembanyama in the second half.
STEPHON CASTLE CE SOIR : 19 POINTS À 46% 11 REBONDS 13 ASSISTS LA WIN FACE AUX 76ERS ✅ 5ᵉ TRIPLE-DOUBLE CETTE SAISON ✅ MÊME SANS WEMBY SORTI A LA PAUSE, LES TEXANS ONT SU MAÎTRISER PHILLY ET PASSENT EN [60W-19L] ! 8ᵉ FOIS QUE LES SPURS ATTEIGNENT LES 60W, ALL TIME !!!!!! https://t.co/EiWTRo6ctu
458 views2 rt14 likesER:0.0003RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@Fullcourtpassverified66,244 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
Commentator George Blaha made a remark about Joel Embiid, referring to him as "street clothes" in the context of the 76ers' starting five.
George Blaha on Philadelphia 76ers stating five “All but the man they call street clothes Joel Embiid” https://t.co/6PvvUcNSAL
11,123 views4 rt104 likesER:0.0028RR:0.2Source: X/Twitter
KOL@Sportsnetverified1,049,536 flwQ:2/5emotionbearish
Wemby makes this look too easy 😱 📺: 76ers 🆚 Spurs live on SN1 📲: Stream on Sportsnet+ https://t.co/9IceRiazT6
9,665 views1 rt7 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@sixersverified2,208,313 flwQ:1/5emotionbullish
three courtesy of PG. 👌 https://t.co/dofHB2wfOi
8,543 views13 rt110 likesER:0.0002RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
KOL@BovadaOfficialverified93,012 flwQ:1/5emotionneutral
Spurs remote died after the call 😂 https://t.co/wT8rnFiYqn
978 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter

KOL — Medium Relevance (3)

KOL@LegionHoopsverified967,769 flwQ:4/5newsneutral
If the playoffs started today, the 76ers would be the 6th seed in the East, facing the 3rd seed Knicks.
If the playoffs started today… EAST: (1) Pistons vs (8) Play-In Winner (2) Celtics vs (7) Play-In Winner (3) Knicks vs (6) 76ers (4) Cavs vs (5) Hawks Play-In: (7) Raptors vs (8) Hornets (9) Magic vs (10) Heat WEST: (1) Thunder vs (8) Play-In Winner (2) Spurs vs (7) Play-In Winner (3) Lakers vs (6) Timberwolves (4) Nuggets vs (5) Rockets Play-In: (7) Suns vs (8) Clippers (9) Blazers vs (10) Wa...
93,664 views42 rt827 likesER:0.0017RR:0.1Source: X/Twitter
KOL@JakeRos390764019 flwQ:3/5opinionbearish
The author believes Tyrese Maxey should not be the 76ers' number one option and would be a bench player on a successful team.
@caImness I’ll never understand the agenda that some people in the 76ers fan base push that Maxey should be the number 1 option. On a successful team, Maxey is reduced to a bench player at absolute best.
57 views1 rt1 likesER:2.3333RR:6.3Source: X/Twitter
KOL@statmuse870,535 flwQ:3/5analysisneutral
Tobias Harris has a 4-1 record against the 76ers since leaving Philadelphia.
Tobias Harris is 4-1 vs the 76ers since leaving Philly. https://t.co/pGt8jY657g
169,606 views51 rt880 likesER:0.0022RR:0.2Source: X/Twitter

Retail — High Relevance (10)

RETAIL@Sleeper_Hoopsverified21,962 flwQ:5/5firsthandbearish
Joel Embiid was observed limping, suggesting his knee might be bothering him again.
Joel Embiid is limping 🫣 Seems like his knee started bothering him again…. https://t.co/FnKkxy7vdH
1,517 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0001RR:0.1Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@IsolationNBAverified22,436 flwQ:4/5newsbearish
The Spurs defeated the 76ers 115-102, with Stephon Castle recording his 5th triple-double with 19 points, 11 rebounds, and 13 assists.
No Wemby, no problem. Los Spurs vencieron a los 76ers por 115-102 y se mantuvieron en la lucha por el primer puesto del oeste. Stephon Castle firmó su 5° triple-doble: 19 puntos - 11 rebotes - 13 asistencias https://t.co/D3H86RiNk2
98 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@JacobPacheco6verified3,076 flwQ:4/5newsbearish
The Spurs defeated the 76ers 115-102, which helped the Raptors move back into 6th place in the East playoffs.
Spurs do the Raptors a favor and beat the 76ers 115-102. Toronto is back in a playoff in 6th in the East. For now. Huge two games at HOME vs Miami - who is basically going to finish 10th. Have to win both. No excuses really. #WeTheNorth
51 views0 rt2 likesER:0.0007RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@TheNightMVPverified11,526 flwQ:4/5newsbearish
The San Antonio Spurs defeated the Philadelphia 76ers 115-102, with Stephon Castle contributing 19 points, 10 rebounds, 13 assists, and 2 steals.
Preocupado por Wemby Victoria de San Antonio Spurs ante Philadelphia 76ers 102-115 Stephon Castle 19 PTS 10 REB 13 AST 2 STL 46% TC Estaba siendo un increíble partido entre un ex MVP y un futuro MVP, pero las lesiones tuvieron que jodernos en la primera mitad, primero fue Embiid aunque luego pudo continuar y tuvo un tremendo partido con 34 puntos y 12 rebotes. Pero Victor Wembanyama no corrió ...
195 views0 rt5 likesER:0.0004RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@bricey_2kverified7,639 flwQ:4/5newsbearish
The 76ers lost to the Spurs, which is a significant result for the Hawks, who can clinch a top 6 birth if they beat Cleveland on Wednesday.
76ers lose tonight against the Spurs. Big result for the Hawks. If they beat Cleveland Wednesday they will clinch a top 6 birth.
95 views1 rt4 likesER:0.0031RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@therealmikekbverified14,433 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
The 76ers' final four games are against San Antonio, Houston, Indiana, and the Bucks.
#sixers final 4 games: @ San Antonio @ Houston @ Indiana Vs. Bucks How will they finish?
5,362 views4 rt40 likesER:0.0083RR:0.4Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@Danielle_Stein96,388 flwQ:3/5newsbearish
The Philadelphia 76ers lost, and now they, Orlando Magic, and Hornets all have identical 43-36 records, occupying the 7-9 seeds.
Philadelphia 76ers lose. Orlando Magic win. They, along with the #Hornets, all have identical records at 43-36, occupying the 7-9 seeds https://t.co/viDaDwVU4f
5 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@SixersWire1,552 flwQ:3/5newsbearish
The 76ers, including Joel Embiid, lost to the Spurs to start their trip.
Player grades: Joel Embiid, 76ers come up short to Spurs to begin trip 📸 Scott Wachter, Scott Wachter-Imagn Images https://t.co/xVKUQui9AS https://t.co/ghJEOWPOtK
12 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@draftea_soporte1,150 flwQ:3/5newsneutral
If a bet was placed on Victor Wembanyama's over, it will be canceled due to his exit in the first half of the Spurs vs 76ers game.
¡Salvado! 🚨 Si jugaste el over de Wembanyama (Spurs) en Spurs vs 76ers y no lo cumplió, su línea será cancelada por su salida en la primera mitad. 🏀 ¡Revisa tu entrada al finalizar el partido! 😎
59 views0 rt1 likesER:0.0009RR:0.1Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@PhillyTakewRB1,780 flwQ:3/5newsbearish
The Sixers lost to the Spurs 102-115 on the road, which is a tough loss for their standings with three games left in the season.
Sixers lose on the road to the Spurs 102-115. Tough loss for standings with three games remaining on the season Comment your thoughts on the game ⬇️ #sixers #76ers #philadelphia76ers #joelembiid #nba 🔵🔴 https://t.co/oU6Y9QBdcw
45 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.0Source: X/Twitter

Retail — Medium Relevance (4)

RETAIL@SleeperCleCavsverified1,943 flwQ:4/5newsneutral
If the NBA Playoffs started today, the 76ers would be the 6th seed in the East, facing the 3rd seed Knicks.
Here’s how the NBA Playoffs would look if it started today: EAST: (1) Pistons vs (8) Play-In Winner (2) Celtics vs (7) Play-In Winner (3) Knicks vs (6) 76ers (4) Cavs vs (5) Hawks Play-In: (7) Raptors vs (8) Hornets (9) Magic vs (10) Heat WEST: (1) Thunder vs (8) Play-In Winner (2) Spurs vs (7) Play-In Winner (3) Lakers vs (6) Timberwolves (4) Nuggets vs (5) Rockets Play-In: (7) Suns vs (8) Cl...
856 views1 rt6 likesER:0.0134RR:0.4Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@BleavIn76ers1,028 flwQ:3/5opinionbearish
The author believes the 76ers need to acquire a starting caliber power forward or any rotational player as an upgrade over McCain.
Getting a starting caliber PF or ANY guy who would be in the rotation for our team would be an upgrade over McCain, since he was on an Amtrak to Delaware for a portion of the season.
952 views1 rt2 likesER:0.0214RR:0.9Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@RealBobManningverified13,714 flwQ:3/5analysisneutral
A win would help the 76ers avoid Charlotte in tiebreakers, potentially allowing for resting players later to help Orlando.
Win does definitely goes further toward avoiding CHA than a loss looking at the tiebreakers. Then could do some heavy resting on SUN (if you aren't already) to help ORL out if it comes to that. That said, I think PHI-BOS would be a challenge too...
1,604 views0 rt4 likesER:0.0003RR:0.1Source: X/Twitter
RETAIL@Mrtalented19138 flwQ:2/5opinionbearish
The author believes Maxey and Embiid do not make their teammates better.
Maxey and Embiid don't make teammates better #76ers
32 views0 rt0 likesER:0.0000RR:0.2Source: X/Twitter

Top Whale Positions in This Market

10 position holders in this market. Showing top 10. 10 of 10 hold Spurs positions. Largest position: 12,452.23 shares. 10 profitable, 0 at loss.

#AddressSideAvg PriceCurr PriceSizePnL
10x0eb75bf6f54794a83bd26095811f30b530161f17Spurs0.55480.99950+$39,482.49
20x37c1874a60d348903594a96703e0507c518fc53aSpurs0.49180.999512,452.23+$6,321.17
30x8a91016bb3faa3132a707ed17ea263308606249fSpurs0.54000.99958,932.12+$4,104.31
40xc6990958b17cf5a96fa99a526321174a0d717961Spurs0.56900.99950.01+$1,491.31
50xa93e8f5341ffaf1aff97641634fbf4fa4138ae6dSpurs0.54000.99953,025+$1,389.99
60x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14Spurs0.47680.99952,290.21+$1,197.09
70xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff523aafbdbbd40cSpurs0.00000.99951,187.36+$1,186.77
80x8a1a729933a143436d5bf22109cb0c60d475e54eSpurs0.55990.99952,290.79+$1,006.8
90x033d71eb2ea7fcef47a7b2d3b0dcab2cb546fd1eSpurs0.54990.9995668.38+$567.77
100x7b47a31c97e22de4d7af4a07365545cbc5aed615Spurs0.55000.99951,255.33+$564.27
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